Tue, Nov 10, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
45%
11%
11%
34%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Moulson–O'Reilly | Larsson–Girgensons–Reinhart | McGinn–Ennis–Eichel | Legwand–Foligno–Deslauriers | Foligno–Deslauriers–Girgensons | Moulson–Ennis–O'Reilly | Gorges–Ristolainen | Pysyk–McCabe | Colaiacovo–Franson | Colaiacovo–Pysyk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov | 3:560.16–0.03 | 1:020.00–0.10 | 2:130.00–0.19 | 1:090.26–0.02 | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:570.07–0.00 | 6:480.18–0.15 | 2:240.03–0.12 | 3:210.44–0.07 | |
| Filppula–Stamkos–Drouin | 0:390.01–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.12 | 1:200.02–0.05 | 2:300.03–0.06 | 1:240.02–0.03 | 1:520.00–0.10 | ||||
| Filppula–Callahan–Stamkos | 0:580.08–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.00 | 1:070.01–0.10 | 3:280.19–0.08 | 1:430.00–0.03 | |||||
| Namestnikov–Brown–Paquette | 2:230.06–0.00 | 1:100.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:280.05–0.00 | 1:290.06–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.07 | |||
| Boyle–Condra–Drouin | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:290.05–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.02 | 0:420.05–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:460.03–0.09 | ||||
| Callahan–Brown–Paquette | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Boyle–Condra–Namestnikov | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.08 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Stralman–Hedman | 5:490.20–0.06 | 1:060.05–0.00 | 1:330.01–0.16 | 1:020.28–0.02 | 1:140.04–0.02 | 1:170.07–0.00 | 8:200.29–0.13 | 1:450.03–0.03 | 3:450.40–0.10 | |
| Coburn–Garrison | 2:200.08–0.00 | 3:110.02–0.20 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 2:220.00–0.12 | 4:150.05–0.00 | 1:460.08–0.10 | ||||
| Carle–Sustr | 0:320.01–0.00 | 2:440.00–0.13 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 2:450.10–0.02 | 2:060.00–0.10 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||
| Coburn–Carle | 1:450.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:530.02–0.03 | 0:550.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Garrison–Sustr | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.08 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:210.06–0.00 | 0:400.11–0.02 | 1:180.00–0.06 | |||
| Hedman–Sustr | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:080.06–0.08 | ||||||||
| Carle–Garrison | 1:080.00–0.10 | 0:330.01–0.01 | 1:080.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 31 | 26:28 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 2 | 12 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 24:15 | 0:58 | 3:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 22 | 23:43 | 1:05 | 2:11 | 5 | 2 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 28 | 23:39 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 2 | 11 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 30 | 21:54 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 3 | 8 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 22 | 20:45 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 7 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 20:42 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 7 | 2 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 24 | 20:05 | 0:50 | 2:29 | 2 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 19:53 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 8 | 4 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 26 | 19:48 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 0 | 6 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 19:35 | 0:56 | 1:49 | 7 | 2 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 22 | 18:27 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 25 | 18:03 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 24 | 17:55 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 17:07 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 22 | 16:46 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 4 | 3 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 23 | 16:38 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 22 | 16:37 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 2 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 24 | 16:33 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 3 | 8 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 21 | 15:56 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 19 | 15:16 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Jonathan DrouinTBL | 18 | 14:39 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 14:25 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 4 | 4 |
 Carlo ColaiacovoBUF | 21 | 13:46 | 0:39 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 20 | 13:22 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 4 | 1 |
 Jamie McGinnBUF | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 15 | 11:18 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 14 | 10:31 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 JT BrownTBL | 14 | 10:28 | 0:45 | 1:04 | 0 | 1 |
 David LegwandBUF | 18 | 9:56 | 0:33 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 12 | 9:48 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik CondraTBL | 13 | 9:38 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 2 | 4 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 14 | 9:21 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 14 | 9:05 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |