Tue, Nov 10, 2015·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Dallas Stars 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
10%
41%
DAL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.02 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.11 | 47.4% | +65.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.01 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.00 | 47.2% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:32 | 0.29 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.16 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.03 | 47.3% | +40.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.19 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.20 | 59.1% | +40.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.05 | 49.4% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.11 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.10 | 41.6% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 13:57 | 0.27 | 48.2% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.02 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:58 | 0.27 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:43 | 0.34 | 64.6% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:33 | 0.02 | 64.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.14 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26:26 | 0.10 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:32 | 0.17 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.26 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.23 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.19 | 49.8% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.11 | 61.4% | +58.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.10 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.05 | 60.4% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.19 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.20 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.14 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.06 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:16 | 0.03 | 51.0% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.03 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:17 | 0.22 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.18 | −0.8 | 58:41 |