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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 12, 2015·Madison Square Garden, New York

St. Louis Blues 3, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 57% of the time.

NYR winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Upshall, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 2:24Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 4:54Goal by Brassard (Zuccarello, Nash)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Nash, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello · STL Upshall, Backes, Shattenkirk, Edmundson, Fabbri

  5. P1 5:40Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 7:12Goal by Zuccarello (Brassard, Nash)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · STL Bouwmeester, Brodziak, Pietrangelo, Paajarvi, Fabbri

  7. P1 7:33Shot by Backes, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 8:16Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 10:03Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 10:53Shot by Girardi, saved by Allen
  11. P1 12:21Shot by Backes, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 12:51Shot by Backes, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 14:21Shot by Stalberg, saved by Allen
  14. P1 14:38Goal by Hayes (Stalberg, Lindberg)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Yandle, Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes · STL Gomez, Havlat, Gunnarsson, Parayko, Fabbri

  15. P1 16:36Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 16:39Shot by Parayko, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 16:40Goal by Jaskin (Parayko, Brodziak)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Nash, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello · STL Brodziak, Gunnarsson, Paajarvi, Jaskin, Parayko

  18. P1 16:54Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 17:57Shot by Lindberg, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 18:15Shot by Upshall, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 18:27Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 18:24Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 19:12Shot by McDonagh, saved by Elliott
  24. P1 19:25Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:48Shot by Upshall, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 1:20Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 2:13Shot by Havlat, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 5:24Goal by Tarasenko, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Stalberg, McDonagh, Lindberg, Hayes · STL Steen, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Edmundson

  31. P2 7:22Shot by Backes, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 7:58Shot by Nash, saved by Elliott
  33. P2 8:55Shot by Yandle, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 10:21Goal by Miller (Stepan, Girardi)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Miller · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko

  35. P2 10:53Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Elliott
  36. P2 11:00Shot by Edmundson, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 12:30Brassard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Nash, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello · STL Gomez, Havlat, Bouwmeester, Brouwer, Pietrangelo

  38. P2 12:45Shot by Stoll, saved by Elliott4v5
  39. P2 13:31Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  40. P2 13:52Shot by Stoll, saved by Elliott4v5
  41. P2 13:52Shot by Stoll, saved by Elliott4v5
  42. P2 14:21Goal by Brouwer (Fabbri, Gomez)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Staal, Stepan · STL Gomez, Brouwer, Pietrangelo, Parayko, Fabbri

  43. P2 15:33Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 16:29Shot by Hayes, saved by Elliott
  45. P2 19:02Nash: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · STL Upshall, Bouwmeester, Backes, Brouwer, Pietrangelo

  46. P2 19:38Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:26Brouwer: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Staal, Brassard, Zuccarello · STL Gomez, Bouwmeester, Brouwer, Pietrangelo, Fabbri

  50. P3 2:18Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Elliott5v4
  51. P3 2:44Goal by McDonagh (Stepan, Zuccarello)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Brassard, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Pietrangelo

  52. P3 3:25Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 3:33Shot by Stepan, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 4:07Shot by Miller, saved by Elliott
  55. P3 7:42Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 7:45Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 9:11Lehtera: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello · STL Steen, Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko

  58. P3 9:44Shot by Kreider, saved by Elliott5v4
  59. P3 13:16Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 14:58Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 16:05Shot by Brassard, saved by Elliott
  62. P3 18:26Goal by Girardi (Miller, Kreider)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Miller · STL Gomez, Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Tarasenko, Jaskin, Fabbri

  63. P3 18:42Yandle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Yandle, Stalberg, Lindberg, Hayes · STL Upshall, Bouwmeester, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Paajarvi

  64. P3 19:05Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lundqvist4v6
  65. P3 19:51Shattenkirk: Slashing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · STL Gomez, Steen, Backes, Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo, Tarasenko

  66. P3 19:51Nash: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · STL Gomez, Steen, Backes, Shattenkirk, Pietrangelo, Tarasenko

  67. P3 19:58Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist4v6
  68. P3 19:59Shot by Steen, saved by Lundqvist4v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final