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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 12, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Nashville Predators 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 55% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Komarov–van Riemsdyk–KadriParenteau–Matthias–BozakLupul–Winnik–SpalingGrabner–Holland–FroeseHunwick–RiellyPhaneuf–GardinerPolak–HarringtonPolak–GardinerPolak–RiellyPhaneuf–HunwickPhaneuf–Rielly
Fisher–Neal–Forsberg7:010.32–0.410:510.00–0.161:070.00–0.110:580.00–0.007:550.17–0.801:000.15–0.000:370.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Hodgson–Jarnkrok–Salomaki0:370.03–0.004:230.13–0.011:210.00–0.131:040.04–0.000:580.00–0.002:350.02–0.012:300.04–0.020:450.00–0.110:490.11–0.00
Ribeiro–Wilson–Smith1:360.02–0.043:040.27–0.001:190.00–0.022:010.07–0.003:380.24–0.040:520.07–0.020:370.04–0.000:370.00–0.00
Bourque–Watson–Sissons1:160.00–0.002:370.00–0.001:500.08–0.000:460.00–0.001:400.00–0.003:270.08–0.001:200.24–0.000:390.00–0.00
Ribeiro–Neal–Forsberg1:030.00–0.041:260.00–0.040:320.00–0.040:300.02–0.00
Fisher–Neal–Wilson0:370.01–0.000:480.01–0.00
Weber–Josi7:030.30–0.412:260.13–0.211:050.00–0.111:220.00–0.007:230.11–0.593:300.21–0.100:360.00–0.000:360.24–0.001:180.00–0.160:400.00–0.001:150.13–0.00
Ellis–Ekholm3:070.01–0.056:380.13–0.161:110.07–0.111:300.04–0.004:200.03–0.163:030.11–0.054:160.11–0.001:360.00–0.00
Jackman–Jones1:300.06–0.000:540.02–0.005:490.31–0.022:030.00–0.002:260.10–0.044:190.24–0.002:030.11–0.021:060.15–0.001:120.04–0.001:230.00–0.00
Josi–Ellis0:560.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSmith FWilson FRibeiro FForsberg FFisher FNeal FSalomaki FHodgson FJarnkrok FWatson FBourque FSissons FJones DJackman DWeber DJosi DEllis DEkholm DRinne GSpaling FLupul FWinnik FParenteau FMatthias FBozak Fvan Riemsdyk FKadri FKomarov FHolland FGrabner FFroese FHunwick DRielly DPhaneuf DPolak DGardiner DHarrington DReimer G
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH3126:080:511:3548
Morgan RiellyTOR3425:420:452:0536
Matt HunwickTOR3825:290:401:50310
Shea WeberNSH3024:270:491:3257
Dion PhaneufTOR3323:220:422:0552
Ryan EllisNSH2722:290:501:1331
Filip ForsbergNSH2922:080:461:4364
Mike RibeiroNSH2420:420:522:2230
Seth JonesNSH2520:320:491:2250
James NealNSH2620:160:471:1662
Roman PolakTOR2719:420:441:4303
Mike FisherNSH2819:390:421:1367
Nazem KadriTOR2719:330:431:2583
Jake GardinerTOR3019:150:391:0924
Leo KomarovTOR2618:430:431:2392
James van RiemsdykTOR2718:340:411:1682
Mattias EkholmNSH2418:320:461:1941
PA ParenteauTOR2617:540:411:1461
Tyler BozakTOR2717:520:401:1962
Nick SpalingTOR2516:490:401:1603
Barret JackmanNSH2116:390:481:1840
Joffrey LupulTOR2315:280:401:2624
Shawn MatthiasTOR2615:170:351:0932
Craig SmithNSH2215:050:411:1641
Colin WilsonNSH2114:030:401:0651
Calle JarnkrokNSH2013:580:421:0524
Byron FroeseTOR2213:230:371:4208
Miikka SalomakiNSH1612:570:491:0512
Daniel WinnikTOR1612:390:471:3312
Gabriel BourqueNSH1512:240:501:1811
Michael GrabnerTOR2012:190:371:0605
Austin WatsonNSH1611:420:441:2310
Cody HodgsonNSH1410:260:451:0121
Colton SissonsNSH1510:060:401:0110
Peter HollandTOR149:550:431:0522
Scott HarringtonTOR129:200:471:3500