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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 1, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Detroit Red Wings

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Goal by Tatar (Green, Nyquist)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan · BUF Colaiacovo, McGinn, Bogosian, Deslauriers, Girgensons

  3. P1 2:46Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:27Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 4:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 5:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  8. P1 6:00Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 6:05Shot by Bogosian, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 6:13Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 6:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 6:39Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 7:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 8:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 9:06Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 9:56Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 10:18Shot by Legwand, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 10:27Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 10:32Goal by Abdelkader (Ericsson, DeKeyser)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Colaiacovo, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Reinhart

  20. P1 12:31Shot by Richards, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 12:53Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 13:07Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 13:19Shot by Larsson, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 14:40Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 14:45Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 14:57Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 15:04Shot by Gorges, saved by Mrazek
  28. P1 17:30Goal by Kane (O'Reilly, Ristolainen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Larkin · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  29. P1 18:40Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  30. P1 19:58Shot by Richards, saved by Ullmark
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:30Pulkkinen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Moulson, Bogosian, Eichel

  34. P2 1:33Shot by Gionta, saved by Mrazek4v5
  35. P2 1:41Kane: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · BUF Gionta, Franson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Kane

  36. P2 3:36Shot by Tatar, saved by Ullmark5v4
  37. P2 3:51Shot by Marchenko, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 4:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 4:21Goal by Miller (Abdelkader, Glendening)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Abdelkader, Smith, Marchenko, Glendening · BUF Legwand, Gorges, McGinn, Deslauriers, Ristolainen

  40. P2 5:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 5:59DeKeyser: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  42. P2 6:51Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Mrazek4v5
  43. P2 7:46Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek4v5
  44. P2 9:36Shot by Marchenko, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 9:46Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 10:01Shot by McGinn, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 10:21Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 10:55Shot by Richards, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 11:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 12:26Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 13:04Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 13:32Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  53. P2 14:34Shot by Kronwall, saved by Ullmark
  54. P2 14:35Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 14:47Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ullmark
  56. P2 14:49Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ullmark
  57. P2 15:15Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  58. P2 15:16Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  59. P2 15:33Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Ullmark
  60. P2 17:04Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Smith, Marchenko, Larkin · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  61. P2 17:04Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Smith, Marchenko, Larkin · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  62. P2 17:04Zetterberg: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Smith, Marchenko, Larkin · BUF Franson, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  63. P2 17:09Goal by Girgensons (Ristolainen, Moulson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · BUF Moulson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  64. P2 17:26Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  65. P2 17:27Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Ullmark
  66. P2 18:26Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ullmark
  67. P2 19:04Abdelkader: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Marchenko, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  68. P2 19:04Abdelkader: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Marchenko, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  69. P2 19:04Gorges: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Marchenko, DeKeyser, Larkin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  70. P2 19:18Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark4v5
  71. P2 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Period start
  73. P3 0:53Shot by Kane, saved by Mrazek4v5
  74. P3 0:53Goal by Kane (Gionta, McGinn)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Sheahan, DeKeyser · BUF Gionta, McGinn, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen

  75. P3 2:02Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Ullmark
  76. P3 3:22Goal by Bogosian (Girgensons, Ristolainen)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Miller, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Eichel

  77. P3 3:29Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mrazek
  78. P3 6:16Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ullmark
  79. P3 8:20Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 11:04Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ullmark
  81. P3 12:50Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  82. P3 12:51Gionta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Green, Helm, Tatar · BUF Legwand, Gionta, Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Girgensons

  83. P3 13:31Goal by Abdelkader (Nyquist, Kronwall)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist · BUF Gorges, Kane, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  84. P3 13:49Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  85. P3 14:25Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ullmark
  86. P3 15:07Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
  87. P3 18:31Shot by Green, saved by Ullmark
  88. P3 18:35Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Ullmark
  89. P3 19:24Shot by Tatar, saved by Ullmark
  90. P3 19:35Shot by Eichel, saved by Mrazek
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. OT 0:00Period start
  93. OT 1:21Nyquist: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DET Green, Nyquist, Tatar · BUF Gorges, Kane, Eichel

  94. OT 2:10Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazek3v4
  95. OT 3:22Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek4v4
  96. OT 4:41Shot by Tatar, saved by Ullmark3v3
  97. OT 5:00Period end
  98. SO Period start
  99. SO Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ullmarkother
  100. SO Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mrazekother
  101. SO Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Ullmarkother
  102. SO Shot by Moulson, saved by Mrazekother
  103. SO Goal by Richards, unassistedother
  104. SO Period end
  105. SO Final