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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 1, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Kane–ReinhartGionta–Moulson–EichelGionta–Girgensons–EichelMcGinn–Deslauriers–GirgensonsLegwand–Foligno–LarssonLegwand–Moulson–FolignoMcGinn–Deslauriers–LarssonFoligno–Deslauriers–LarssonO'Reilly–Kane–FolignoO'Reilly–Deslauriers–ReinhartGorges–RistolainenColaiacovo–BogosianFranson–McCabeMcCabe–RistolainenBogosian–McCabeColaiacovo–RistolainenBogosian–Ristolainen
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Larkin7:280.47–0.600:380.00–0.040:380.07–0.020:550.01–0.008:120.09–0.511:330.35–0.001:330.12–0.22
Nyquist–Tatar–Sheahan0:460.00–0.001:140.00–0.001:040.57–0.003:450.15–0.000:430.01–0.001:520.43–0.003:430.08–0.003:010.12–0.080:490.42–0.00
Datsyuk–Helm–Pulkkinen0:420.00–0.001:300.00–0.002:040.55–0.000:380.00–0.000:490.22–0.001:440.55–0.001:270.21–0.001:260.00–0.000:310.09–0.000:310.00–0.00
Richards–Datsyuk–Helm1:090.00–0.242:340.02–0.030:530.07–0.001:200.02–0.012:400.07–0.241:030.00–0.01
Miller–Pulkkinen–Glendening0:400.18–0.001:340.07–0.131:340.20–0.001:030.05–0.11
Richards–Miller–Glendening0:430.00–0.001:000.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Datsyuk–Nyquist–Tatar0:310.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:520.10–0.00
Nyquist–Sheahan–Pulkkinen1:270.01–0.000:410.00–0.000:530.01–0.00
Zetterberg–Pulkkinen–Larkin0:570.00–0.00
Datsyuk–Helm–Tatar0:570.02–0.000:570.02–0.00
Kronwall–Green2:300.00–0.232:130.02–0.013:411.20–0.131:390.15–0.001:260.12–0.000:440.00–0.000:550.01–0.007:050.63–0.264:120.43–0.003:200.13–0.080:470.42–0.000:300.05–0.000:310.00–0.00
Ericsson–DeKeyser8:380.63–0.371:380.00–0.040:490.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:420.22–0.006:490.40–0.232:500.44–0.003:160.09–0.240:310.00–0.000:390.09–0.000:380.00–0.13
Smith–Marchenko1:050.00–0.002:340.00–0.011:260.00–0.003:150.07–0.021:000.00–0.001:020.11–0.002:350.13–0.034:150.01–0.084:570.10–0.080:560.00–0.000:480.03–0.00
Green–DeKeyser0:470.00–0.001:290.00–0.00
Ericsson–Green0:500.00–0.241:020.00–0.24
Green–Smith0:330.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndAbdelkader FZetterberg FLarkin FDatsyuk FRichards FHelm FNyquist FSheahan FTatar FGlendening FPulkkinen FMiller FEricsson DDeKeyser DGreen DKronwall DSmith DMarchenko DMrazek GKane FReinhart FO'Reilly FGirgensons FDeslauriers FMcGinn FGionta FEichel FMoulson FLarsson FLegwand FFoligno FGorges DRistolainen DColaiacovo DBogosian DMcCabe DFranson DUllmark G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3527:550:481:5476
Ryan O'ReillyBUF3126:140:512:4164
Evander KaneBUF2924:380:512:2053
Jonathan EricssonDET3023:480:482:1425
Mike GreenDET3023:400:472:0731
Niklas KronwallDET3122:540:441:2032
Jack EichelBUF2722:240:502:3451
Brian GiontaBUF2622:170:511:4711
Danny DeKeyserDET3121:500:421:3024
Zach BogosianBUF2920:340:431:2334
Josh GorgesBUF2819:500:431:1737
Sam ReinhartBUF2619:310:451:4644
Pavel DatsyukDET2519:250:471:3142
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF2919:170:401:2313
Darren HelmDET2619:140:441:2036
Gustav NyquistDET2517:560:431:2440
Henrik ZetterbergDET2417:450:441:2743
Cody FransonBUF2717:210:391:0723
Jake McCabeBUF2517:010:411:0503
Brendan SmithDET2216:560:461:2021
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2516:320:401:0931
Alexey MarchenkoDET2216:270:451:2030
Tomas TatarDET2315:470:411:1421
Dylan LarkinDET2415:290:391:1542
Riley SheahanDET2215:090:411:0250
Justin AbdelkaderDET2214:230:391:0443
Teemu PulkkinenDET2014:060:421:1241
Luke GlendeningDET2013:050:392:4319
Jamie McGinnBUF1712:450:451:0930
Drew MillerDET1612:050:451:5613
Matt MoulsonBUF1712:040:431:1241
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1611:280:431:1215
Marcus FolignoBUF1510:140:411:2216
Brad RichardsDET1310:120:471:2030
Johan LarssonBUF158:080:331:0913
David LegwandBUF127:120:361:1111