Mon, Dec 21, 2015·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Colorado Avalanche 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
10%
47%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:16 | 0.02 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.01 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.02 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.15 | 41.5% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.01 | 66.7% | +69.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.09 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | −1 | 5 | 16:26 | 0.66 | 32.9% | +66.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.13 | 61.6% | +31.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 15:43 | 1.13 | 63.0% | +43.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.03 | 60.5% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.04 | 30.3% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.04 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.04 | 23.3% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.29 | 29.1% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:57 | 0.00 | 7.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.34 | −1.7 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:16 | 0.02 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:31 | 0.06 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:24 | 0.15 | 62.5% | +26.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.18 | 65.1% | +40.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.27 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.12 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.36 | 63.1% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.07 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.02 | 63.8% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.15 | 43.7% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.07 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.16 | 72.8% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.11 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:43 | 0.06 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.34 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.00 | 90.0% | +14.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 8:03 | 0.21 | 90.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 15 | 6 | .714 | 1.90 | −4.1 | 58:47 |