Mon, Dec 28, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
62%
8%
9%
21%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29:18 | 0.12 | 39.2% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:28 | 0.07 | 37.7% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.03 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.03 | 41.7% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:34 | 0.21 | 47.8% | +37.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:15 | 0.32 | 38.2% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.07 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.14 | 41.8% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 40.9% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.08 | 32.8% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.02 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.13 | 56.9% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.08 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.12 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.13 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.13 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.14 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.00 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:45 | 0.16 | 60.0% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.07 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.11 | 51.6% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.47 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:18 | 0.36 | 89.1% | +36.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:13 | 0.58 | 63.6% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 77.5% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.14 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.02 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.07 | 65.9% | +58.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.32 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.01 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.05 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:27 | 0.18 | 50.3% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.15 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.13 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:58 | 0.12 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.05 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 1.83 | −1.2 | 64:44 |