Tue, Dec 29, 2015·Prudential Center, Newark
Carolina Hurricanes 2, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 52% of the time.
37%
11%
12%
40%
NJD winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Versteeg–Lindholm | Staal–Nestrasil–Nordstrom | McClement–Terry–Nash | Skinner–Rask–Di Giuseppe | Nestrasil–Nordstrom–Rask | McClement–Skinner–Di Giuseppe | Hainsey–Faulk | Slavin–Hanifin | Liles–Pesce | Faulk–Hanifin | Slavin–Pesce | Hainsey–Slavin | Faulk–Slavin | Hainsey–Pesce | Hainsey–Hanifin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cammalleri–Zajac–Palmieri | 0:470.00–0.02 | 1:480.00–0.11 | 1:070.28–0.01 | 3:580.25–0.00 | 4:180.56–0.02 | 2:440.02–0.12 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:470.09–0.00 | |||||
| Tootoo–Gionta–Farnham | 2:120.15–0.12 | 1:440.04–0.00 | 2:210.08–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:340.15–0.00 | 2:060.12–0.12 | 1:000.10–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Kennedy–Tlusty–Henrique | 0:480.03–0.02 | 1:350.02–0.07 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.07 | 2:140.03–0.04 | 0:550.02–0.10 | 1:290.02–0.03 | ||||||||
| Kennedy–Tlusty–Kalinin | 0:520.00–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.06 | 1:050.07–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:220.07–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.06 | |||||||
| Stempniak–Henrique–Matteau | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:210.06–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.02 | 1:280.06–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Stempniak–Matteau–Kalinin | 1:330.02–0.06 | 1:110.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 1:210.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Cammalleri–Henrique–Palmieri | 1:370.03–0.01 | 1:280.00–0.01 | 0:530.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Stempniak–Henrique–Kalinin | 0:360.00–0.01 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.01 | 1:020.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Cammalleri–Stempniak–Henrique | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Kennedy–Gionta–Tlusty | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Zajac–Palmieri–Matteau | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:370.08–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||
| Cammalleri–Stempniak–Zajac | 0:530.09–0.00 | 0:530.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Greene–Moore | 7:510.16–0.27 | 1:240.06–0.00 | 1:460.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.06 | 4:100.11–0.07 | 4:070.05–0.13 | 2:270.16–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:020.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Schlemko–Larsson | 1:150.00–0.00 | 4:350.00–0.07 | 2:410.15–0.03 | 2:310.02–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:390.02–0.04 | 3:320.15–0.10 | 3:130.00–0.03 | 1:100.10–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.03 | |||||
| Merrill–Severson | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:560.08–0.09 | 3:090.34–0.01 | 3:070.23–0.00 | 5:530.57–0.02 | 1:190.08–0.01 | 4:040.00–0.09 | 0:450.09–0.00 | |||||||
| Greene–Larsson | 1:370.07–0.11 | 0:380.07–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Schlemko–Moore | 0:430.00–0.13 | 0:410.00–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.13 | ||||||||||||
| Schlemko–Severson | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Greene–Merrill | |||||||||||||||
| Merrill–Larsson | 0:470.02–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NJDCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Justin FaulkCAR | 28 | 25:53 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 3 | 4 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 26 | 23:11 | 0:54 | 1:56 | 1 | 2 |
 John MooreNJD | 26 | 21:00 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 3 | 6 |
 David SchlemkoNJD | 24 | 20:36 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 2 | 2 |
 Travis ZajacNJD | 24 | 20:08 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 1 | 5 |
 Adam LarssonNJD | 22 | 20:01 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 1 | 3 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 23 | 19:46 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Andy GreeneNJD | 26 | 19:38 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 2 | 7 |
 Kyle PalmieriNJD | 24 | 19:27 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Damon SeversonNJD | 22 | 19:19 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 22 | 19:13 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Adam HenriqueNJD | 25 | 18:57 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 4 | 5 |
 Michael CammalleriNJD | 23 | 18:42 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 2 | 2 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 21 | 18:15 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 4 | 2 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 23 | 17:18 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 17:15 | 0:45 | 2:16 | 2 | 4 |
 Jon MerrillNJD | 20 | 16:57 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 0 | 2 |
 Lee StempniakNJD | 23 | 16:44 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 3 | 4 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 23 | 16:33 | 0:43 | 1:56 | 5 | 3 |
 Andrej NestrasilCAR | 21 | 16:15 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Joakim NordstromCAR | 23 | 16:02 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Kris VersteegCAR | 23 | 15:57 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 20 | 14:57 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Stephen GiontaNJD | 20 | 14:25 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 21 | 14:25 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 20 | 14:01 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Riley NashCAR | 20 | 13:28 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 |
 John-Michael LilesCAR | 17 | 13:08 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Jiri TlustyNJD | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 1:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Tyler KennedyNJD | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Sergey KalininNJD | 18 | 12:57 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 3 | 4 |
 Bobby FarnhamNJD | 16 | 12:10 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 0 | 2 |
 Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR | 20 | 11:29 | 0:34 | 1:10 | 4 | 1 |
 Jordin TootooNJD | 16 | 11:25 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Chris TerryCAR | 16 | 10:38 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Stefan MatteauNJD | 15 | 9:53 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |