Wed, Dec 30, 2015·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.
42%
9%
41%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 28:37 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 22:57 | 0.33 | 68.3% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.10 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:06 | 0.30 | 64.8% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.02 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:14 | 1.02 | 67.5% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:05 | 0.37 | 43.2% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.23 | 72.7% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.20 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.01 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.19 | 33.9% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.21 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:02 | 0.34 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.05 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.01 | 74.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 3.37 | +1.4 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:00 | 0.34 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:04 | 0.43 | 70.6% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.11 | 42.6% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22:08 | 0.68 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.04 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.10 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.43 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.18 | 80.7% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.26 | 37.2% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.14 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.09 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:50 | 0.20 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.14 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.03 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.10 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:40 | 0.05 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 13.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.37 | +1.4 | 65:00 |