Tue, Jan 12, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Colorado Avalanche 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.
12%
74%
COL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Filppula–Callahan–Paquette | Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov | Stamkos–Palat–Namestnikov | Boyle–Brown–Paquette | Boyle–Kucherov–Brown | Boyle–Stamkos–Brown | Garrison–Sustr | Coburn–Nesterov | Stralman–Hedman | Carle–Stralman | Stralman–Nesterov | Carle–Sustr | Carle–Hedman | Coburn–Carle | Stralman–Garrison | Hedman–Sustr | Coburn–Hedman | Garrison–Nesterov | Coburn–Garrison | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iginla–Duchene–Landeskog | 0:390.00–0.01 | 3:080.00–0.15 | 0:330.07–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.15 | ||||||||||
| Comeau–Soderberg–Landeskog | 2:340.14–0.10 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:180.01–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:210.07–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:480.12–0.07 | ||||||||
| Mitchell–McLeod–Skille | 0:560.00–0.12 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.05 | 1:240.00–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||
| Tanguay–Duchene–MacKinnon | 1:530.05–0.05 | 0:590.09–0.08 | 0:450.04–0.05 | 0:590.09–0.08 | 1:120.01–0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| Tanguay–Mitchell–MacKinnon | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.10 | 1:140.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.10 | 0:530.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Comeau–Soderberg–McLeod | 0:580.01–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:340.02–0.03 | 0:490.10–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Iginla–Grigorenko–Martinsen | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.11 | 1:060.00–0.09 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Mitchell–Comeau–Soderberg | 1:370.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Tanguay–Skille–MacKinnon | 0:460.00–0.08 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Mitchell–MacKinnon–Martinsen | 1:000.00–0.04 | 0:300.03–0.03 | 0:300.03–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||
| Skille–Grigorenko–Martinsen | 1:070.02–0.02 | 1:070.02–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| Skille–Duchene–Landeskog | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| Comeau–Duchene–Landeskog | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||||
| Beauchemin–Barrie | 2:140.00–0.13 | 4:210.00–0.30 | 2:580.00–0.09 | 1:340.00–0.01 | 1:230.00–0.02 | 2:010.00–0.12 | 1:250.00–0.15 | 1:140.00–0.06 | 0:570.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Bodnarchuk–Redmond | 3:260.03–0.01 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:420.02–0.03 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.09 | 0:530.10–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Guenin–Holden | 0:510.00–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.00 | 2:590.08–0.20 | 1:010.03–0.03 | 2:190.01–0.20 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Holden–Barrie | 2:340.05–0.11 | 2:020.00–0.10 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:160.04–0.05 | 1:090.00–0.09 | 1:060.01–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Beauchemin–Bodnarchuk | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:300.10–0.05 | 0:450.09–0.00 | 1:210.07–0.00 | 1:050.10–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:380.15–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Guenin–Redmond | 2:240.00–0.15 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||
| Holden–Redmond | 0:500.04–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.26 | 0:500.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Guenin–Bodnarchuk | 0:560.00–0.12 | 0:560.00–0.12 |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Francois BeaucheminCOL | 27 | 24:45 | 0:55 | 1:46 | 5 | 8 |
 Nick HoldenCOL | 30 | 22:44 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 3 | 5 |
 Tyson BarrieCOL | 27 | 22:33 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Carl SoderbergCOL | 19 | 20:16 | 1:04 | 2:11 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 4 | 4 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 22 | 19:22 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 4 | 3 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 22 | 19:19 | 0:53 | 2:39 | 3 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 18:52 | 0:54 | 2:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 18:45 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 24 | 18:27 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 18:22 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 4 | 2 |
 Blake ComeauCOL | 22 | 18:15 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Andrew BodnarchukCOL | 22 | 17:28 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 John MitchellCOL | 23 | 16:58 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 4 | 8 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 23 | 16:46 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 19 | 16:23 | 0:52 | 1:12 | 1 | 6 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 21 | 16:21 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 3 | 3 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 20 | 16:15 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 0 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 18 | 15:58 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 19 | 15:52 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 3 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 21 | 15:38 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Zach RedmondCOL | 21 | 15:35 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 1 | 2 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 19 | 15:33 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt DucheneCOL | 23 | 15:29 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Nate GueninCOL | 23 | 15:07 | 0:39 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 18 | 14:39 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex TanguayCOL | 20 | 14:31 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 2 | 3 |
 Jarome IginlaCOL | 17 | 13:31 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 4 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 16 | 13:04 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 16 | 12:58 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 18 | 12:49 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 3 | 3 |
 Cody McLeodCOL | 20 | 11:59 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack SkilleCOL | 16 | 10:26 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 |
 Andreas MartinsenCOL | 13 | 9:47 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoCOL | 11 | 7:48 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 0 | 2 |