Sat, Feb 6, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
69%
8%
15%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:01 | 0.09 | 28.8% | +0.1 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.13 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 20:53 | 0.23 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.05 | 5.3% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.12 | 12.2% | 0.0 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.04 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
 PA ParenteauRW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.13 | 47.2% | +0.1 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.08 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.01 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
 Daniel WinnikLW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.27 | 59.9% | +0.1 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.03 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.12 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 2.5% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.19 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick SpalingC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.03 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Byron FroeseC · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.07 | 9.1% | 0.0 |
 Shawn MatthiasLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:54 | 0.00 | 2.4% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | L | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 0.85 | −2.2 | 7:38 |
 Jonathan Bernier#45 | – | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 52:22 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.09 | 72.1% | +13.8 |
 Cody CeciD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:03 | 0.60 | 91.0% | 0.0 |
 Marc MethotD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.00 | 65.3% | +13.8 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:53 | 0.56 | 74.6% | +14.2 |
 Mark BorowieckiD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.01 | 83.6% | 0.0 |
 Mike HoffmanC · #68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.26 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.41 | 82.4% | +14.2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 78.5% | +10.4 |
 Kyle TurrisC · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.27 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
 Bobby RyanRW · #6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.02 | 73.1% | +8.4 |
 Mika ZibanejadC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.20 | 46.3% | +10.4 |
 Patrick WierciochD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex ChiassonRW · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.01 | 66.4% | +0.1 |
 Chris WidemanD · #45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 72.6% | +8.4 |
 Curtis LazarC · #27 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 12:28 | 0.54 | 97.3% | +2.9 |
 Shane PrinceLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:23 | 0.09 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan DzingelC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 88.8% | +2.8 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:46 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.58 | +0.6 | 59:58 |