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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 9, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Kadri, saved by Hiller
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Hudler, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Stajan, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:39Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hiller
  6. P1 4:36Shot by Grabner, saved by Hiller
  7. P1 5:21Shot by Brodie, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 6:20Shot by Frolik, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 8:13Shot by Giordano, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 9:56Stajan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Russell, Frolik, Hamilton, Bennett · TOR Boyes, Clune, Froese, Marincin, Corrado

  11. P1 10:40Goal by Granlund (Frolik, Brodie)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Brodie, Granlund · TOR Parenteau, Komarov, Holland, Leivo, Rielly

  12. P1 11:28Shot by Boyes, saved by Hiller4v5
  13. P1 11:34Goal by Holland (Corrado, Hunwick)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Jooris · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Kadri, Holland, Corrado

  14. P1 11:54Froese: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Russell, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Bennett · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Winnik, Spaling, Froese

  15. P1 12:28Shot by Grabner, saved by Hiller5v4
  16. P1 13:57Shot by Bennett, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 15:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Hiller
  18. P1 15:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Hiller
  19. P1 17:27Shot by Parenteau, saved by Hiller
  20. P1 17:57Parenteau: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Jones, Russell, Backlund, Hamilton, Bennett · TOR Boyes, Clune, Froese, Marincin, Corrado

  21. P1 18:03Goal by Backlund (Hamilton, Bennett)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Ferland, Hamilton, Bennett · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Grabner, Spaling

  22. P1 19:13Shot by Hamilton, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 19:27Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:14Shot by Komarov, saved by Hiller
  27. P2 0:25Shot by Polak, saved by Hiller
  28. P2 0:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Hiller
  29. P2 0:43Jooris: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Jones, Russell, Ferland, Hamilton, Jooris · TOR Parenteau, Holland, Arcobello, Corrado, Rielly

  30. P2 0:49Shot by Clune, saved by Hiller4v5
  31. P2 3:29Shot by Froese, saved by Hiller
  32. P2 3:36Shot by Froese, saved by Hiller
  33. P2 4:06Goal by Ferland (Colborne)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Russell, Backlund, Colborne, Brodie, Ferland · TOR Komarov, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Corrado

  34. P2 4:47Shot by Boyes, saved by Hiller
  35. P2 4:46Shot by Boyes, saved by Hiller
  36. P2 4:54Bollig: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Jones, Russell, Bollig, Hamilton · TOR Boyes, Polak, Clune, Gardiner, Froese

  37. P2 5:48Leivo: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Russell, Frolik, Backlund · TOR Parenteau, Komarov, Holland, Leivo, Rielly

  38. P2 5:51Shot by Russell, saved by Reimer4v4
  39. P2 6:51Shot by Frolik, saved by Reimer4v4
  40. P2 6:55Shot by Jooris, saved by Reimer5v4
  41. P2 9:12Shot by Bollig, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 9:53Shot by Ferland, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 10:37Shot by Parenteau, saved by Hiller
  44. P2 14:08Goal by Hamilton (Granlund)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Russell, Frolik, Granlund, Hamilton, Bennett · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Holland, Arcobello, Rielly

  45. P2 14:30Shot by Corrado, saved by Hiller
  46. P2 14:58Shot by Parenteau, saved by Hiller
  47. P2 15:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Hiller
  48. P2 17:17Goal by Leivo (Clune, Corrado)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Jones, Smid, Colborne, Granlund · TOR Clune, Froese, Marincin, Corrado, Leivo

  49. P2 17:36Shot by Russell, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 19:26Shot by Hamilton, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 19:54Shot by Ferland, saved by Reimer
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:24Shot by Backlund, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 1:58Shot by Corrado, saved by Hiller
  56. P3 2:31Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  57. P3 2:30Shot by Froese, saved by Hiller
  58. P3 6:26Shot by Kadri, saved by Hiller
  59. P3 8:05Shot by Engelland, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 8:37Goal by Gardiner, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Smid, Frolik, Backlund, Bennett · TOR Boyes, Polak, Winnik, Gardiner, Arcobello

  61. P3 9:42Shot by Polak, saved by Hiller
  62. P3 9:43Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  63. P3 12:09Shot by Winnik, saved by Hiller
  64. P3 14:30Shot by Holland, saved by Hiller
  65. P3 15:03Shot by Leivo, saved by Hiller
  66. P3 16:44Shot by Corrado, saved by Hiller
  67. P3 16:55Shot by Brodie, saved by Reimer
  68. P3 17:37Shot by Arcobello, saved by Hiller
  69. P3 18:49Shot by Parenteau, saved by Hiller5v6
  70. P3 0:00Parenteau: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Brodie, Granlund, Jooris · TOR Parenteau, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Holland, Rielly

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final