Tue, Feb 9, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
22%
10%
10%
58%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:40 | 0.02 | 76.5% | +12.6 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:06 | 0.05 | 69.9% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.06 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
 PA ParenteauRW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:13 | 0.44 | 82.2% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.17 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 18:52 | 0.21 | 82.2% | +19.6 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 64.2% | +19.6 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:03 | 0.27 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.05 | 68.3% | +25.0 |
 Daniel WinnikLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.03 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.11 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
 Mark ArcobelloRW · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.13 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick SpalingC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.05 | 22.3% | +5.5 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:04 | 0.32 | 85.6% | 0.0 |
 Byron FroeseC · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:34 | 0.10 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.02 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Rich CluneLW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.19 | 66.7% | +5.5 |
 James Reimer#34 | L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.34 | −2.7 | 57:42 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 26:28 | 0.05 | 30.0% | +16.8 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:10 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Kris RussellD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:35 | 0.06 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
 Michael FrolikRW · #67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.37 | 36.0% | +16.8 |
 Dougie HamiltonD · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.09 | 41.8% | +21.7 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.18 | 52.4% | +15.7 |
 Josh JoorisRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.02 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Joe ColborneC · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.05 | 37.5% | +14.5 |
 Micheal FerlandLW · #79 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.23 | 50.0% | +14.5 |
 Sam BennettC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.07 | 38.7% | +15.7 |
 Markus GranlundC · #60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.05 | 9.2% | +22.8 |
 Matt StajanC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.10 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Jiri HudlerRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.04 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Deryk EngellandD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 David JonesRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon BolligLW · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.02 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Ladislav SmidD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 Jakub NakladalD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:45 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Hiller#1 | W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 60:00 |