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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 9, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Calgary Flames 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parenteau–Holland–ArcobelloKomarov–Grabner–KadriBoyes–Winnik–SpalingWinnik–Spaling–LeivoClune–Froese–LeivoBoyes–Clune–FroeseParenteau–Holland–FroesePolak–GardinerHunwick–RiellyMarincin–CorradoGardiner–CorradoCorrado–RiellyPolak–HunwickPolak–RiellyPolak–Corrado
Frolik–Backlund–Bennett1:360.00–0.055:250.04–0.310:480.00–0.130:580.14–0.002:050.00–0.156:230.11–0.340:480.00–0.000:420.06–0.02
Hudler–Ferland–Jooris0:410.00–0.021:540.00–0.001:150.00–0.010:350.03–0.002:320.00–0.020:310.00–0.020:490.03–0.000:530.00–0.00
Stajan–Jones–Bollig1:380.02–0.000:410.00–0.021:180.02–0.140:460.00–0.000:330.03–0.01
Hudler–Colborne–Granlund1:030.02–0.000:310.00–0.001:080.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Jones–Colborne–Granlund1:100.00–0.040:340.00–0.001:290.00–0.16
Jones–Ferland–Jooris1:080.00–0.041:000.00–0.001:290.00–0.030:340.00–0.00
Colborne–Ferland–Jooris0:410.00–0.040:400.00–0.001:030.00–0.06
Stajan–Colborne–Bollig0:460.00–0.000:500.01–0.00
Stajan–Frolik–Bollig0:460.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Giordano–Brodie3:180.02–0.109:100.07–0.500:570.00–0.000:310.00–0.004:440.00–0.187:470.05–0.281:500.00–0.120:320.03–0.010:480.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:320.00–0.02
Russell–Hamilton4:420.09–0.170:330.00–0.003:430.01–0.171:410.00–0.011:210.03–0.001:390.03–0.140:380.00–0.056:360.08–0.221:520.02–0.261:390.00–0.002:000.01–0.021:070.00–0.001:060.03–0.00
Engelland–Smid2:400.02–0.042:030.00–0.000:520.00–0.012:150.03–0.053:120.03–0.021:510.00–0.012:570.03–0.180:470.00–0.17
Smid–Brodie0:450.02–0.000:490.02–0.00
Russell–Nakladal0:300.00–0.000:300.15–0.000:300.00–0.000:300.15–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBacklund FFrolik FBennett FJooris FJones FFerland FColborne FHudler FGranlund FStajan FBollig FGiordano DBrodie DRussell DHamilton DEngelland DSmid DNakladal DHiller GGrabner FKadri FKomarov FSpaling FWinnik FLeivo FParenteau FHolland FArcobello FClune FBoyes FFroese FHunwick DRielly DPolak DGardiner DCorrado DMarincin DReimer G
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

TJ BrodieCGY3226:280:501:4406
Jake GardinerTOR3125:400:502:1885
Mark GiordanoCGY3225:100:471:4437
Kris RussellCGY3324:350:451:3037
Roman PolakTOR3123:060:452:0267
Morgan RiellyTOR3322:310:411:4461
Michael FrolikCGY3320:100:371:2022
Dougie HamiltonCGY2919:490:411:2046
PA ParenteauTOR2519:130:461:4490
Mikael BacklundCGY2819:070:411:3825
Leo KomarovTOR2819:070:411:0992
Peter HollandTOR2718:520:421:14102
Matt HunwickTOR2818:050:392:0843
Josh JoorisCGY2717:180:381:0939
Nazem KadriTOR2517:030:411:0972
Joe ColborneCGY2216:310:451:2024
Frank CorradoTOR2716:210:361:5861
Micheal FerlandCGY2316:190:431:3865
Daniel WinnikTOR1815:370:521:1722
Sam BennettCGY2515:340:371:0612
Michael GrabnerTOR2415:330:391:0454
Mark ArcobelloTOR2215:010:411:0461
Nick SpalingTOR1914:540:471:1423
Markus GranlundCGY2514:490:361:2031
Matt StajanCGY2114:250:411:2512
Jiri HudlerCGY2014:220:431:0950
Josh LeivoTOR2014:060:421:2462
Brad BoyesTOR1913:040:411:1742
Deryk EngellandCGY1812:440:422:0840
David JonesCGY2212:090:331:0304
Brandon BolligCGY1912:090:381:2112
Ladislav SmidCGY1510:580:442:0840
Byron FroeseTOR2010:340:320:5611
Martin MarincinTOR189:540:331:0420
Rich CluneTOR189:310:320:5631
Jakub NakladalCGY21:450:531:2000