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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 11, 2016·Rexall Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:29Goal by McDavid (Pouliot, Eberle)+15 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Eberle, Schultz, Nurse, McDavid · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Greening, Gardiner, Arcobello

  3. P1 4:40Shot by Sekera, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 4:52Shot by Spaling, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 6:27Shot by Parenteau, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 8:06Goal by Leivo (Marincin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hendricks, Korpikoski, Schultz, Kassian, Nurse · TOR Clune, Froese, Marincin, Corrado, Leivo

  7. P1 9:31Shot by Corrado, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 9:37Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot
  9. P1 9:54Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 10:05Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 10:23Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 11:41Shot by Boyes, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 12:17Shot by Froese, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 13:14Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 15:11Shot by Komarov, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 17:13Gryba: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Gryba, Eberle, Davidson, McDavid · TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Polak, Winnik, Gardiner, Holland

  17. P1 18:27Shot by Corrado, saved by Talbot4v5
  18. P1 19:00Shot by Corrado, saved by Talbot4v5
  19. P1 19:01Shot by Holland, saved by Talbot4v5
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:30Spaling: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Purcell, Schultz, Hall, Nurse, Draisaitl · TOR Boyes, Hunwick, Winnik, Spaling, Rielly

  23. P2 2:07Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier5v4
  24. P2 3:04Shot by Hall, saved by Bernier5v4
  25. P2 3:18Shot by Sekera, saved by Bernier5v4
  26. P2 4:35Shot by Yakupov, saved by Bernier
  27. P2 4:47Shot by Nurse, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 5:20Shot by Sekera, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 6:15Shot by Davidson, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 6:24Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 6:25Goal by Eberle (McDavid, Pouliot)+22 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Gryba, Eberle, Davidson, McDavid · TOR Hunwick, Winnik, Spaling, Froese, Rielly

  32. P2 6:37Shot by Pakarinen, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 6:41Nurse: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Letestu, Schultz, Pakarinen, Yakupov, Nurse · TOR Parenteau, Greening, Marincin, Arcobello, Corrado

  34. P2 7:11Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot4v5
  35. P2 8:13Shot by Holland, saved by Talbot4v5
  36. P2 8:47Shot by Nurse, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 10:05Nurse: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Fayne, Eberle, Nurse, McDavid · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Holland, Rielly

  38. P2 10:54Shot by Corrado, saved by Talbot4v5
  39. P2 11:51Shot by Corrado, saved by Talbot4v5
  40. P2 13:02Shot by Purcell, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 13:48Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 14:06Shot by Hunwick, saved by Talbot5v6
  43. P2 14:17Gryba: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Gryba, Letestu, Kassian, Davidson, Yakupov · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Holland, Arcobello, Rielly

  44. P2 14:28Shot by Greening, saved by Talbot4v5
  45. P2 14:25Shot by Parenteau, saved by Talbot4v5
  46. P2 14:35Shot by Parenteau, saved by Talbot4v5
  47. P2 15:07Shot by Holland, saved by Talbot4v5
  48. P2 15:44Shot by Rielly, saved by Talbot4v5
  49. P2 15:55Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot4v5
  50. P2 17:19Shot by McDavid, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 17:20Winnik: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Gryba, Eberle, Hall, McDavid · TOR Polak, Winnik, Komarov, Spaling, Corrado

  52. P2 18:36Goal by Eberle (McDavid, Sekera)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Pouliot, Purcell, Eberle, McDavid · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Grabner, Froese

  53. P2 19:45Goal by Gardiner (Komarov, Boyes)+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Purcell, Schultz, Hall, Nurse, Draisaitl · TOR Boyes, Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Holland

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:34Shot by McDavid, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 2:57Shot by Gryba, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 3:06Shot by Pouliot, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 3:21Shot by Parenteau, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 3:43Shot by Hall, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 3:56Shot by Nurse, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 4:23Shot by Greening, saved by Talbot
  63. P3 5:43Shot by Nurse, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 5:52Shot by Hall, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 6:50Shot by Winnik, saved by Talbot
  66. P3 7:17Shot by Polak, saved by Talbot
  67. P3 8:01Parenteau: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Eberle, Schultz, Nurse, McDavid · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Holland, Rielly

  68. P3 8:50Shot by Hall, saved by Bernier5v4
  69. P3 9:06Hall: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Purcell, Schultz, Hall, Yakupov, Draisaitl · TOR Grabner, Spaling, Marincin, Rielly

  70. P3 9:06Grabner: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: EDM Purcell, Schultz, Hall, Yakupov, Draisaitl · TOR Grabner, Spaling, Marincin, Rielly

  71. P3 9:24Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier5v4
  72. P3 9:49Shot by Letestu, saved by Bernier5v4
  73. P3 10:18Korpikoski: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Hendricks, Korpikoski, Kassian, Davidson, Nurse · TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Polak, Winnik, Arcobello, Rielly

  74. P3 11:39Shot by Komarov, saved by Talbot4v5
  75. P3 12:22Shot by Corrado, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 12:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Talbot
  77. P3 13:55Goal by McDavid (Pouliot, Fayne)+11 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Fayne, Eberle, Nurse, McDavid · TOR Polak, Komarov, Grabner, Holland, Rielly

  78. P3 14:47Shot by Arcobello, saved by Talbot
  79. P3 14:54Parenteau: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Hendricks, Korpikoski, Gryba, Davidson, Yakupov · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Greening, Gardiner, Arcobello

  80. P3 14:54Parenteau: Misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: EDM Hendricks, Korpikoski, Gryba, Davidson, Yakupov · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Greening, Gardiner, Arcobello

  81. P3 15:02Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier5v4
  82. P3 15:56Marincin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Letestu, Eberle, Schultz, McDavid · TOR Komarov, Spaling, Marincin, Rielly

  83. P3 16:23Shot by Hall, saved by Bernier5v3
  84. P3 16:49Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier5v3
  85. P3 16:59Shot by McDavid, saved by Bernier5v4
  86. P3 18:01Shot by Hall, saved by Bernier
  87. P3 19:06Goal by Eberle (McDavid, Pouliot)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Pouliot, Fayne, Eberle, Nurse, McDavid · TOR Boyes, Greening, Komarov, Gardiner, Holland, Rielly

  88. P3 19:18Shot by Clune, saved by Talbot
  89. P3 19:36Shot by Marincin, saved by Talbot
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final