Thu, Feb 11, 2016·Rexall Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
28%
8%
57%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:07 | 0.02 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.02 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.10 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.57 | 36.2% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.21 | 77.8% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:47 | 0.65 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 18:04 | 0.73 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 17:31 | 0.89 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.21 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.03 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.04 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.67 | 78.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.30 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.19 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.01 | 76.3% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:24 | 0.11 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2:27 | 0.11 | 100.0% | +16.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.15 | −0.8 | 58:25 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:06 | 0.03 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:35 | 0.20 | 29.3% | +12.9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 5 | 18:51 | 0.74 | 68.8% | +60.1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 8 | 17:54 | 1.91 | 73.8% | +49.5 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.04 | 69.5% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.10 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.00 | 8.9% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.06 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.22 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 14:08 | 0.54 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.02 | 5.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.02 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:11 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 4.87 | +2.9 | 60:00 |