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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 11, 2016·Rexall Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parenteau–Greening–ArcobelloKomarov–Grabner–HollandBoyes–Winnik–SpalingBoyes–Clune–FroeseClune–Froese–LeivoWinnik–Clune–SpalingParenteau–Winnik–SpalingWinnik–Komarov–SpalingHunwick–RiellyPolak–GardinerMarincin–CorradoPolak–MarincinGardiner–CorradoPolak–HunwickPolak–Rielly
Pouliot–Eberle–McDavid2:050.24–0.422:010.19–0.001:410.10–0.000:490.00–0.000:560.06–0.006:370.82–0.420:390.17–0.000:310.00–0.000:430.05–0.00
Purcell–Hall–Draisaitl0:390.00–0.001:150.00–0.162:220.00–0.260:480.00–0.110:590.06–0.000:300.00–0.000:330.00–0.014:010.00–0.631:140.09–0.00
Letestu–Pakarinen–Yakupov2:160.02–0.180:470.00–0.000:390.00–0.020:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:000.00–0.003:020.02–0.340:370.02–0.00
Hendricks–Korpikoski–Kassian0:480.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:090.00–0.201:120.00–0.001:000.00–0.20
Letestu–Kassian–Hall2:050.15–0.001:010.10–0.001:080.04–0.00
Letestu–Kassian–Yakupov1:280.00–0.340:440.00–0.000:500.01–0.13
Purcell–Pakarinen–Draisaitl1:070.00–0.090:400.00–0.030:300.00–0.030:310.00–0.05
Hendricks–Korpikoski–Yakupov0:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:330.00–0.050:440.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Gryba–Davidson3:410.00–0.502:230.04–0.002:020.08–0.260:590.00–0.000:590.06–0.053:170.60–0.054:180.03–0.312:260.00–0.220:420.00–0.011:400.00–0.130:370.00–0.00
Schultz–Nurse1:470.19–0.053:000.27–0.000:500.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:380.06–0.003:090.25–0.011:590.19–0.211:220.02–0.060:460.06–0.00
Sekera–Fayne1:420.00–0.141:130.00–0.162:490.02–0.060:390.00–0.000:360.00–0.190:480.00–0.002:260.00–0.163:150.00–0.310:370.02–0.00
Fayne–Nurse1:090.00–0.420:380.04–0.001:190.00–0.420:320.00–0.12
Sekera–Schultz0:310.00–0.020:480.00–0.000:360.00–0.020:480.00–0.00
Sekera–Gryba0:370.00–0.030:370.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndYakupov FPakarinen FLetestu FHall FPurcell FDraisaitl FEberle FPouliot FMcDavid FHendricks FKorpikoski FKassian FSekera DFayne DGryba DDavidson DSchultz DNurse DTalbot GSpaling FWinnik FBoyes FKomarov FHolland FGrabner FArcobello FParenteau FGreening FClune FLeivo FFroese FHunwick DRielly DCorrado DMarincin DPolak DGardiner DBernier G
EDMTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon DavidsonEDM2925:060:521:4737
Roman PolakTOR2724:070:542:2325
Matt HunwickTOR2721:540:492:3354
Eric GrybaEDM2821:500:471:4716
Mark LetestuEDM3020:370:411:06511
Morgan RiellyTOR3220:090:381:1983
Andrej SekeraEDM2819:350:421:2364
Leo KomarovTOR2919:130:402:0451
Jake GardinerTOR2519:060:461:4761
Connor McDavidEDM2418:510:472:4545
PA ParenteauTOR2318:470:491:2580
Frank CorradoTOR2518:040:431:4750
Jordan EberleEDM2317:540:472:4544
Mark ArcobelloTOR2217:310:481:2780
Colin GreeningTOR2317:200:451:10120
Benoit PouliotEDM2617:160:401:1664
Darnell NurseEDM2816:330:351:1625
Daniel WinnikTOR2416:300:411:3024
Nick SpalingTOR2616:250:381:3024
Brad BoyesTOR2416:170:411:4740
Peter HollandTOR2316:090:422:0440
Mark FayneEDM2615:410:361:0117
Teddy PurcellEDM2215:190:421:2822
Leon DraisaitlEDM2014:300:441:2830
Justin SchultzEDM2214:260:391:2221
Michael GrabnerTOR2414:190:361:1636
Taylor HallEDM2014:080:421:2841
Byron FroeseTOR2513:500:331:0666
Iiro PakarinenEDM1913:040:411:2501
Martin MarincinTOR2212:470:351:0023
Lauri KorpikoskiEDM2111:360:331:2543
Nail YakupovEDM1611:310:431:1203
Matt HendricksEDM2011:110:341:1938
Zack KassianEDM1710:520:381:0433
Rich CluneTOR137:240:340:5931
Josh LeivoTOR52:270:290:5800