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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 12, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ribeiro–Smith–ForsbergNeal–Jarnkrok–JohansenFisher–Wilson–ArvidssonGaustad–Bass–SalomakiRibeiro–Wilson–SmithWeber–JosiEllis–EkholmJackman–Bitetto
Filppula–Callahan–Brown2:290.06–0.037:160.48–0.301:050.00–0.005:130.07–0.123:060.02–0.044:270.51–0.06
Stamkos–Palat–Namestnikov3:340.02–0.101:450.00–0.032:310.05–0.102:440.03–0.009:030.08–0.333:530.03–0.05
Killorn–Johnson–Kucherov2:490.16–0.131:230.00–0.003:310.12–0.001:070.01–0.020:500.02–0.002:110.11–0.026:000.15–0.132:060.04–0.00
Boyle–Condra–Paquette2:580.09–0.003:200.05–0.051:000.01–0.042:180.04–0.032:490.01–0.003:510.15–0.06
Hedman–Sustr2:540.09–0.073:580.44–0.041:590.06–0.004:180.16–0.182:410.00–0.063:300.43–0.02
Coburn–Nesterov0:530.00–0.000:560.00–0.041:420.11–0.003:110.04–0.042:170.00–0.004:460.15–0.00
Carle–Stralman2:270.10–0.030:460.04–0.102:190.05–0.024:090.10–0.111:040.02–0.011:250.07–0.02
Stralman–Hedman0:320.03–0.002:380.00–0.030:390.00–0.040:310.00–0.004:210.06–0.081:220.03–0.00
Carle–Sustr1:510.04–0.000:440.00–0.121:250.00–0.000:460.00–0.002:130.00–0.001:140.04–0.00
Coburn–Carle1:220.01–0.110:500.02–0.000:550.00–0.001:080.02–0.111:230.01–0.00
Coburn–Stralman1:200.00–0.000:580.00–0.021:190.01–0.021:040.04–0.00
Hedman–Nesterov1:070.08–0.010:560.00–0.060:580.00–0.010:310.08–0.00
Coburn–Hedman0:370.00–0.000:320.00–0.071:040.00–0.03
Stralman–Nesterov0:330.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Nesterov–Sustr0:480.02–0.020:310.02–0.020:440.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPalat FNamestnikov FStamkos FBrown FCallahan FFilppula FKillorn FKucherov FJohnson FBoyle FPaquette FCondra FStralman DHedman DCarle DSustr DNesterov DCoburn DBishop GFisher FWilson FArvidsson FNeal FJarnkrok FJohansen FForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FBass FSalomaki FGaustad FWeber DJosi DBitetto DJackman DEllis DEkholm DRinne G
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3127:500:541:4955
Roman JosiNSH3027:070:541:3463
Shea WeberNSH2925:250:531:3464
Mattias EkholmNSH2522:150:531:5424
Anton StralmanTBL2721:420:481:3246
Ryan EllisNSH2421:100:532:0533
Steven StamkosTBL2219:480:542:0643
Ondrej PalatTBL2419:400:492:0652
Ryan JohansenNSH2518:510:451:1682
Andrej SustrTBL2118:430:531:3114
Filip ForsbergNSH2818:200:391:2044
Braydon CoburnTBL2418:190:461:1742
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2517:570:431:1946
James NealNSH2417:340:441:2472
Mike RibeiroNSH2117:090:491:1430
Nikita KucherovTBL2116:560:481:2724
Ryan CallahanTBL2516:330:401:2246
Tyler JohnsonTBL2016:190:491:2223
Craig SmithNSH2016:000:481:1440
Matt CarleTBL2115:560:461:2904
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1815:540:531:3742
JT BrownTBL2415:480:401:1826
Calle JarnkrokNSH2515:400:381:1464
Mike FisherNSH2515:220:371:2151
Colin WilsonNSH2214:130:391:3140
Nikita NesterovTBL1813:570:471:3140
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2013:190:401:0331
Barret JackmanNSH2013:080:391:2530
Alex KillornTBL1813:010:431:1013
Anthony BitettoNSH1912:050:381:0920
Miikka SalomakiNSH1712:010:421:2304
Brian BoyleTBL1511:200:451:0723
Cedric PaquetteTBL1410:200:441:0723
Erik CondraTBL139:510:451:2621
Paul GaustadNSH149:070:391:2304
Cody BassNSH138:290:390:5603