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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 21, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Maatta, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 2:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 4:12Shot by Foligno, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 4:59Shot by Weber, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 5:02Shot by Bailey, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 5:35Shot by Moulson, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Sheary, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 7:00Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 7:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 7:52Shot by Bogosian, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 8:37Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 8:41Shot by Moulson, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 8:46Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 9:09Goal by Hornqvist (Daley, Crosby)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Dumoulin

  17. P1 12:21Hornqvist: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  18. P1 12:33Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury5v4
  19. P1 13:48Goal by Bogosian (Pysyk, Gionta)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Bogosian, Larsson, Pysyk · PIT Cullen, Cole, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  20. P1 14:23Shot by Larsson, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 15:08Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 16:23Shot by Larsson, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 17:47Pysyk: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Weber, McGinn, Deslauriers, Pysyk · PIT Porter, Cole, Wilson, Pouliot, Sheary

  24. P1 18:32Shot by Letang, saved by Lehner4v5
  25. P1 19:17Legwand: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Weber, Bogosian, Girgensons · PIT Cullen, Daley, Kessel, Rust, Pouliot

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:39Shot by Letang, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 1:44Shot by Rust, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 1:45Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 4:24Shot by Gionta, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 4:45Maatta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Moulson, Bogosian, Deslauriers, McCabe · PIT Cullen, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta

  33. P2 5:10Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehner5v4
  34. P2 5:11Eichel: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF McGinn, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · PIT Cullen, Cole, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  35. P2 5:28Goal by Wilson (Letang, Pouliot)4v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Larsson, Ristolainen · PIT Crosby, Letang, Wilson, Pouliot

  36. P2 6:13Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner4v4
  37. P2 6:28Shot by Daley, saved by Lehner4v4
  38. P2 7:07Shot by Letang, saved by Lehner4v5
  39. P2 7:09Shot by Maatta, saved by Lehner4v5
  40. P2 7:32Shot by Cullen, saved by Lehner
  41. P2 7:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 8:52Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 9:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 10:29Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 11:15Shot by Cullen, saved by Lehner
  46. P2 12:16Shot by Legwand, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 12:17Shot by Moulson, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 13:04Shot by Porter, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 14:53Shot by Letang, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 15:15Shot by Reinhart, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 17:50Goal by Kessel (Letang)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Bailey, Reinhart · PIT Cullen, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:31Shot by McGinn, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 1:46Shot by Crosby, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 2:44Shot by Cullen, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 3:23Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 4:01Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 4:12Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 7:24Sheary: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Moulson, Deslauriers, Pysyk, McCabe · PIT Porter, Letang, Wilson, Maatta, Sheary

  61. P3 7:52Goal by Cullen (Hagelin, Letang)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McGinn, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · PIT Cullen, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta

  62. P3 8:05Goal by Gionta (Bogosian, Moulson)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Bogosian, Larsson, Pysyk · PIT Porter, Cole, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl

  63. P3 8:23Shot by Daley, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 9:16Shot by Kane, saved by Fleury
  65. P3 9:42Shot by Bailey, saved by Fleury
  66. P3 16:34Kane: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Bailey, Eichel · PIT Daley, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Sundqvist

  67. P3 17:25Shot by Maatta, saved by Lehner4v5
  68. P3 17:44Shot by Kessel, saved by Lehner4v5
  69. P3 18:14Shot by Letang, saved by Lehner4v5
  70. P3 19:38Goal by Bogosian (Ristolainen)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McGinn, Bogosian, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · PIT Cullen, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final