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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 21, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kunitz–Crosby–HornqvistCullen–Kessel–HagelinRust–Kuhnhackl–SundqvistPorter–Wilson–ShearyLetang–MaattaDaley–DumoulinCole–Pouliot
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson9:490.40–0.190:350.03–0.000:500.00–0.125:170.40–0.004:050.00–0.312:270.00–0.00
Kane–Bailey–Reinhart1:160.00–0.052:560.01–0.103:170.18–0.091:300.00–0.085:200.01–0.281:560.18–0.001:580.01–0.05
McGinn–Girgensons–Eichel0:320.01–0.004:130.00–0.121:410.10–0.021:350.01–0.081:580.01–0.083:530.01–0.022:550.00–0.12
Legwand–Moulson–Deslauriers1:030.03–0.000:390.42–0.032:250.01–0.011:290.42–0.001:010.00–0.011:590.04–0.05
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel1:010.01–0.000:460.01–0.000:360.00–0.00
Kane–Bailey–Eichel
Bogosian–McCabe0:560.00–0.055:570.03–0.223:450.12–0.054:120.02–0.086:490.01–0.244:550.14–0.004:310.01–0.17
Gorges–Ristolainen11:370.43–0.191:550.03–0.100:440.26–0.020:430.00–0.007:360.70–0.104:540.00–0.213:310.03–0.04
Weber–Pysyk0:440.00–0.002:210.03–0.004:290.45–0.603:020.00–0.264:170.16–0.573:570.18–0.132:090.03–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FBailey FKane FReinhart FEichel FMcGinn FGirgensons FMoulson FLegwand FDeslauriers FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DPysyk DWeber DLehner GKunitz FHornqvist FCrosby FCullen FHagelin FKessel FRust FKuhnhackl FSundqvist FWilson FSheary FPorter FMaatta DLetang DDaley DDumoulin DCole DPouliot DFleury G
BUFPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT3428:430:511:3765
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3525:580:451:27117
Olli MaattaPIT3225:330:481:3744
Zach BogosianBUF3122:500:441:3242
Jake McCabeBUF3121:370:421:3232
Jack EichelBUF2621:110:491:2661
Josh GorgesBUF3020:460:421:2467
Sidney CrosbyPIT2820:230:441:0858
Evander KaneBUF2219:530:541:3261
Patric HornqvistPIT2818:520:401:1349
Chris KunitzPIT2518:350:451:1537
Brian DumoulinPIT2918:310:381:2305
Trevor DaleyPIT2718:030:401:2313
Brian GiontaBUF2517:370:421:0555
Phil KesselPIT2217:230:471:1525
Carl HagelinPIT2416:580:421:1027
Sam ReinhartBUF2116:280:471:3271
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1916:160:511:3231
Matt CullenPIT2516:110:391:1328
Jamie McGinnBUF2215:490:431:0861
Johan LarssonBUF2215:360:431:0053
Derrick PouliotPIT2015:280:461:1722
Marcus FolignoBUF2215:060:411:0152
Mark PysykBUF2314:130:371:0911
Ian ColePIT2113:480:391:1214
Mike WeberBUF2012:480:381:0311
Oskar SundqvistPIT1612:420:481:1300
Bryan RustPIT1912:230:391:0700
Justin BaileyBUF1511:550:481:1331
Tom KuhnhacklPIT1811:380:391:2100
Kevin PorterPIT1510:360:421:2320
Scott WilsonPIT1510:150:410:5520
Conor ShearyPIT139:500:450:5520
David LegwandBUF158:390:351:1722
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF138:240:391:0430
Matt MoulsonBUF158:110:331:0210