Sun, Feb 21, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.
32%
10%
11%
47%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 28:43 | 0.19 | 49.0% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:33 | 0.20 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.05 | 36.5% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.16 | 35.8% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.02 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.08 | 51.7% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.17 | 73.4% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.20 | 72.7% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:11 | 0.21 | 71.3% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 64.9% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.04 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.15 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.38 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.12 | 94.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.15 | 90.8% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.09 | 91.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 1.82 | −1.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 25:58 | 0.04 | 69.4% | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.11 | 33.6% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:37 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.21 | 51.2% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.01 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.02 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.29 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.26 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.17 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 37.0% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.01 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.21 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.13 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:24 | 0.09 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 0.23 | 85.2% | +4.3 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.21 | −1.8 | 58:43 |