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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 21, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:55Nesterov: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Liles, McClement, Skinner, Rask, Pesce, Lindholm · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Marchessault

  3. P1 6:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  4. P1 7:21Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 8:17Shot by Terry, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 9:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  7. P1 9:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward
  8. P1 9:32Liles: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Liles, Skinner, Rask, Pesce, Lindholm · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Marchessault

  9. P1 10:59Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward4v5
  10. P1 11:10Goal by Nordstrom (Staal, Slavin)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nordstrom, Slavin · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat

  11. P1 15:36Shot by Palat, saved by Ward
  12. P1 15:39Shot by Coburn, saved by Ward
  13. P1 16:34Shot by Jordan, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 19:01Shot by Lindholm, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 19:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 4:41Goal by Brown (Paquette, Sustr)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Slavin, Lindholm · TBL Filppula, Carle, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  19. P2 4:56Shot by Palat, saved by Ward
  20. P2 6:00Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  21. P2 6:15Nestrasil: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, McClement, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Slavin · TBL Coburn, Condra, Killorn, Nesterov, Namestnikov

  22. P2 8:27Goal by Callahan (Stamkos, Nesterov)+28 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Nestrasil, Slavin · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr

  23. P2 8:53Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop
  24. P2 9:14Versteeg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Sustr

  25. P2 9:20Shot by Liles, saved by Bishop4v5
  26. P2 10:58Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward4v5
  27. P2 11:17Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 11:52Shot by Paquette, saved by Ward
  29. P2 12:07Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 12:59Goal by Jordan (Skinner, Rask)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Jordan, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Marchessault, Sustr

  31. P2 16:10Shot by Rask, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 18:43Shot by Slavin, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 0:00Period end
  34. P3 0:00Period start
  35. P3 0:26Shot by Brown, saved by Ward
  36. P3 0:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  37. P3 1:17Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Bishop
  38. P3 1:25Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  39. P3 1:26Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  40. P3 2:18Shot by Terry, saved by Bishop
  41. P3 2:55Shot by Stralman, saved by Ward
  42. P3 5:53Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop
  43. P3 7:36Shot by Jordan, saved by Bishop
  44. P3 7:42Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bishop
  45. P3 10:48Coburn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nestrasil, Nordstrom, Slavin · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Nesterov

  46. P3 10:55Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop5v4
  47. P3 12:21Staal: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Staal, Nash, Rask, Lindholm, Hanifin · TBL Stralman, Hedman, Brown, Paquette

  48. P3 14:01Shot by Carle, saved by Ward4v5
  49. P3 14:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Ward4v5
  50. P3 14:17Goal by Stamkos (Johnson, Marchessault)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Nash, Slavin, Lindholm · TBL Carle, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Marchessault

  51. P3 14:54Shot by Versteeg, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 15:02Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 15:44Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Bishop
  54. P3 17:03Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 17:18Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 17:41Palat: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · TBL Coburn, Carle, Johnson, Palat, Marchessault

  57. P3 17:41Di Giuseppe: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Versteeg, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · TBL Coburn, Carle, Johnson, Palat, Marchessault

  58. P3 18:28Shot by Lindholm, saved by Bishop5v4
  59. P3 18:32Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop5v4
  60. P3 19:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop5v4
  61. P3 19:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop5v4
  62. P3 19:50Goal by Callahan (Palat, Paquette)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Liles, Staal, Versteeg, Skinner, Di Giuseppe, Pesce · TBL Carle, Callahan, Stralman, Palat, Paquette

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final