Sun, Feb 21, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.
66%
20%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:54 | 0.40 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:43 | 0.04 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.02 | 20.4% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.10 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.62 | 20.4% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.10 | 26.6% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.14 | 21.9% | +59.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 27.3% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.61 | 26.6% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.15 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.39 | 72.0% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.03 | 43.5% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.19 | 72.0% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:20 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 4.31 | +2.3 | 60:00 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.01 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.09 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.11 | 69.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.26 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.46 | 50.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.08 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.06 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.19 | 41.6% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 17:13 | 0.92 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.33 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.57 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.71 | 43.2% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.13 | 37.8% | +25.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.08 | 53.9% | +25.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.15 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.11 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:08 | 0.05 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 2.21 | −0.8 | 57:47 |