Sun, Feb 21, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.
66%
20%
CAR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos | Johnson–Palat–Marchessault | Filppula–Brown–Paquette | Boyle–Condra–Namestnikov | Killorn–Stamkos–Marchessault | Carle–Sustr | Stralman–Hedman | Coburn–Sustr | Stralman–Nesterov | Coburn–Nesterov | Coburn–Carle | Hedman–Sustr | Coburn–Hedman | Carle–Hedman | Nesterov–Sustr | Hedman–Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staal–Versteeg–Di Giuseppe | 2:410.57–0.00 | 3:430.97–0.02 | 5:140.21–0.43 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 2:380.00–0.33 | 2:500.58–0.00 | 1:150.15–0.02 | 1:420.33–0.00 | 0:360.65–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||
| Staal–Nestrasil–Nordstrom | 7:390.10–0.15 | 1:040.00–0.06 | 0:440.12–0.00 | 3:240.20–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:020.03–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.15 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||||
| Skinner–Rask–Lindholm | 0:340.00–0.02 | 4:160.42–0.23 | 2:210.05–0.35 | 1:330.33–0.29 | 0:510.04–0.02 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.16 | 1:020.06–0.00 | ||||||
| McClement–Terry–Nash | 0:350.00–0.00 | 4:140.07–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.09 | 1:570.03–0.00 | 1:060.06–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Liles–Pesce | 1:460.00–0.02 | 6:410.65–0.46 | 1:340.06–0.02 | 2:450.06–0.09 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 2:300.03–0.12 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 2:050.03–0.00 | 1:530.06–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.02 | 1:270.65–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.37 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||
| Hainsey–Slavin | 8:460.28–0.18 | 2:340.64–0.06 | 0:330.02–0.29 | 2:120.12–0.00 | 4:430.53–0.29 | 1:060.00–0.06 | 1:330.18–0.03 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:300.35–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.15 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||
| Jordan–Hanifin | 1:060.06–0.00 | 6:440.18–0.55 | 1:570.01–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 1:320.02–0.00 | 2:470.00–0.37 | 0:470.30–0.00 | 1:040.03–0.00 | 1:090.09–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:320.06–0.06 | |||
| Liles–Hanifin |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 22:54 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 7 | 7 |
 John-Michael LilesCAR | 27 | 22:23 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 5 | 3 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 27 | 22:22 | 0:50 | 1:58 | 4 | 3 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 24 | 21:46 | 0:54 | 1:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 24 | 21:43 | 0:54 | 2:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 22 | 21:02 | 0:57 | 2:13 | 1 | 4 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 23 | 20:32 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 2 | 5 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 26 | 20:32 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 1 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 18:38 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Kris VersteegCAR | 22 | 18:06 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 23 | 17:46 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 20 | 17:44 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 4 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 20 | 17:43 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 17:32 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 4 | 2 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultTBL | 19 | 17:30 | 0:55 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 22 | 17:24 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 1 |
 Joakim NordstromCAR | 23 | 17:22 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 22 | 17:13 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 24 | 17:05 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 5 | 3 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 18 | 16:57 | 0:57 | 1:48 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 18 | 15:33 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR | 19 | 14:59 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 21 | 14:44 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 3 | 5 |
 JT BrownTBL | 20 | 14:43 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 21 | 14:23 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 18 | 14:12 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 5 | 1 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 4 | 1 |
 Michal JordanCAR | 20 | 13:33 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 18 | 13:26 | 0:45 | 1:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Andrej NestrasilCAR | 16 | 12:59 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 20 | 12:16 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 15 | 11:47 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 12 | 9:41 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Riley NashCAR | 13 | 9:24 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Erik CondraTBL | 11 | 8:20 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris TerryCAR | 11 | 8:08 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 0 |