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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 26, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Boston Bruins 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 74% of the time.

CAR winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Eriksson–Krejci–PastrnakBergeron–Marchand–ConnollyBeleskey–Hayes–SpoonerRinaldo–Ferraro–KemppainenSeidenberg–KrugChara–McQuaidMiller–MorrowChara–MillerChara–Morrow
Staal–Rask–Lindholm4:180.08–0.082:350.01–0.231:200.19–0.012:180.24–0.085:520.15–0.240:420.00–0.00
Staal–Terry–Nordstrom1:090.04–0.004:450.02–0.101:030.00–0.021:120.03–0.022:360.02–0.132:180.04–0.002:000.04–0.010:470.00–0.000:370.03–0.00
Versteeg–Nash–Skinner1:030.11–0.003:140.35–0.001:020.11–0.004:460.54–0.000:420.01–0.000:560.02–0.00
Gerbe–Malone–Di Giuseppe3:190.13–0.111:010.05–0.001:000.02–0.022:480.05–0.16
Staal–Versteeg–Rask2:080.10–0.001:040.00–0.000:410.00–0.113:040.11–0.110:550.00–0.00
Staal–Nordstrom–Lindholm0:560.10–0.001:100.12–0.032:460.22–0.03
Terry–Nash–Skinner1:010.10–0.001:000.08–0.000:370.02–0.001:090.11–0.00
Hainsey–Slavin3:180.15–0.089:200.14–0.331:510.00–0.040:580.02–0.006:020.27–0.175:470.15–0.242:030.01–0.021:520.01–0.001:100.00–0.00
Liles–Pesce7:090.28–0.001:180.00–0.082:120.17–0.041:370.22–0.024:230.38–0.056:590.29–0.041:200.04–0.00
Jordan–Hanifin0:400.10–0.000:550.00–0.005:220.29–0.351:530.13–0.003:480.29–0.072:270.01–0.113:130.06–0.280:330.00–0.00
Liles–Slavin0:480.02–0.000:400.02–0.000:300.01–0.00
Hainsey–Jordan0:590.03–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FTerry FNordstrom FLindholm FRask FStaal FNash FVersteeg FSkinner FGerbe FMalone FDi Giuseppe FHainsey DSlavin DLiles DPesce DHanifin DJordan DWard GConnolly FBergeron FMarchand FKrejci FEriksson FPastrnak FFerraro FRinaldo FSpooner FHayes FBeleskey FKemppainen FSeidenberg DKrug DChara DMcQuaid DMorrow DMiller DRask G
CARBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS2826:360:572:0228
Jaccob SlavinCAR2425:531:052:0522
Ron HainseyCAR2722:150:491:5232
Adam McQuaidBOS2521:480:521:4418
Torey KrugBOS2521:150:512:1133
Victor RaskCAR2021:061:032:1952
Elias LindholmCAR2420:590:521:4445
Eric StaalCAR2220:510:571:4452
John-Michael LilesCAR2520:460:501:2543
Jordan StaalCAR2720:350:461:3883
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2320:130:531:5313
David KrejciBOS2519:080:461:3134
Loui ErikssonBOS2418:410:471:3123
Patrice BergeronBOS2518:260:441:4228
Brad MarchandBOS2517:550:431:4138
Kris VersteegCAR2017:020:511:3450
Noah HanifinCAR1716:571:002:0140
Brett PesceCAR2116:120:461:4123
Riley NashCAR2015:580:481:3872
Kevan MillerBOS2215:580:441:2613
Jeff SkinnerCAR1815:530:532:0751
Joakim NordstromCAR2115:290:441:4352
Ryan SpoonerBOS1615:110:571:5323
Jimmy HayesBOS1614:500:561:2713
Brett ConnollyBOS2114:170:411:1535
Matt BeleskeyBOS1914:070:451:5334
Michal JordanCAR1713:550:492:0330
David PastrnakBOS1713:380:481:3111
Chris TerryCAR1813:120:441:4352
Joe MorrowBOS1812:240:411:2803
Landon FerraroBOS1911:120:351:1401
Joonas KemppainenBOS1610:280:391:2102
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR128:320:431:0721
Zac RinaldoBOS158:150:331:1200
Brad MaloneCAR127:130:361:0220
Nathan GerbeCAR116:380:361:0722