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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 29, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Callahan, saved by Sparks
  3. P1 4:58Shot by Hunwick, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 5:00Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 6:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:57Shot by Paquette, saved by Sparks
  7. P1 7:06Shot by Greening, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 8:04Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sparks
  9. P1 8:15Shot by Nesterov, saved by Sparks
  10. P1 9:24Shot by Corrado, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:03Shot by Boyes, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:14Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:40Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 11:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Sparks
  15. P1 11:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sparks
  16. P1 12:22Shot by Brown, saved by Sparks
  17. P1 12:24Shot by Nesterov, saved by Sparks
  18. P1 12:45Shot by Nesterov, saved by Sparks
  19. P1 12:50Shot by Brown, saved by Sparks
  20. P1 13:09Marincin: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Laich, Greening, Smith, Marincin, Carrick · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  21. P1 13:24Shot by Callahan, saved by Sparks4v5
  22. P1 14:42Shot by Johnson, saved by Sparks4v5
  23. P1 18:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Sparks
  24. P1 18:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Sparks
  25. P1 18:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 19:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sparks
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:51Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 2:57Shot by Corrado, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 4:23Shot by Marincin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 4:53Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Coburn)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov · TBL Coburn, Carle, Callahan, Johnson, Palat

  33. P2 6:45Shot by Filppula, saved by Sparks
  34. P2 7:55Shot by Carle, saved by Sparks
  35. P2 8:38Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 8:41Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 10:48Shot by Filppula, saved by Sparks
  38. P2 12:05Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 12:11Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 13:55Shot by Laich, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 14:03Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 15:28Goal by Johnson, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laich, Greening, Smith, Marincin, Carrick · TBL Stralman, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov

  43. P2 16:56Nesterov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Gardiner, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette

  44. P2 18:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  45. P2 19:03Shot by Hunwick, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:16Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 0:40Shot by Filppula, saved by Sparks
  50. P3 0:41Paquette: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Kapanen · TBL Filppula, Carle, Hedman, Brown, Paquette

  51. P3 0:55Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P3 0:48Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  53. P3 2:58Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 4:01Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 4:33Shot by Boyle, saved by Sparks
  56. P3 6:07Shot by Hunwick, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 6:38Shot by Stralman, saved by Sparks
  58. P3 6:55Kadri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Corrado, Soshnikov · TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  59. P3 6:55Killorn: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Corrado, Soshnikov · TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov

  60. P3 9:34Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 10:36Shot by Coburn, saved by Sparks
  62. P3 12:47Shot by Carle, saved by Sparks
  63. P3 13:11Shot by Stralman, saved by Sparks
  64. P3 14:04Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 14:29Shot by Filppula, saved by Sparks
  66. P3 14:40Shot by Paquette, saved by Sparks
  67. P3 16:27Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 17:06Carrick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Kapanen · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette

  69. P3 17:06Brown: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Kapanen · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette

  70. P3 17:45Goal by Kadri (Rielly, Gardiner)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos

  71. P3 19:09Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  72. P3 19:30Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final