Mon, Feb 29, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
11%
35%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.04 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.02 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.07 | 34.2% | +23.6 |
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.05 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:38 | 0.13 | 20.7% | +39.2 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.17 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.37 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.02 | 60.1% | +23.6 |
 JT BrownRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.14 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.02 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason GarrisonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.17 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Valtteri FilppulaC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.29 | 75.9% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:03 | 0.43 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.02 | 6.6% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SustrD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:47 | 0.00 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 2.20 | +1.2 | 59:57 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:40 | 0.07 | 29.7% | +6.5 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:03 | 0.15 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.03 | 46.2% | +6.5 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.02 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.14 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.08 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:00 | 0.39 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.30 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 65.0% | +6.5 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:04 | 0.32 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.10 | 20.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.09 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.04 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Ben SmithRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.06 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.13 | 84.6% | 0.0 |
 Brooks LaichC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.09 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.11 | 23.8% | 0.0 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.06 | 81.4% | 0.0 |
 Garret Sparks#31 | L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.95 | −0.1 | 57:50 |