Mon, Feb 29, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
11%
35%
TOR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos | Johnson–Palat–Kucherov | Filppula–Brown–Paquette | Boyle–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Johnson–Brown–Paquette | Stralman–Garrison | Coburn–Nesterov | Carle–Hedman | Carle–Sustr | Stralman–Hedman | Coburn–Carle | Coburn–Hedman | Hedman–Nesterov | Garrison–Hedman | Carle–Stralman | Garrison–Nesterov | Carle–Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Komarov–Kadri–Soshnikov | 7:470.13–0.06 | 1:570.04–0.00 | 3:160.10–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.02 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 0:430.01–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Laich–Greening–Smith | 1:030.00–0.12 | 6:070.05–0.14 | 1:180.02–0.00 | 1:420.02–0.06 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.12 | 1:480.00–0.04 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Grabner–Hyman–Nylander | 7:020.13–0.75 | 1:070.06–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.63 | 0:360.08–0.02 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 1:480.03–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Boyes–Holland–Kapanen | 1:210.00–0.12 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 0:460.21–0.00 | 0:590.10–0.00 | 1:260.05–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:530.21–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Hyman–Nylander–Kapanen | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:190.05–0.20 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.15 | 0:590.04–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Boyes–Grabner–Holland | 0:570.04–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hunwick–Rielly | 8:290.11–0.20 | 0:490.01–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 3:070.07–0.03 | 1:270.11–0.00 | 2:100.00–0.02 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.02 | 1:090.00–0.19 | 0:430.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Marincin–Carrick | 4:350.05–0.12 | 3:390.25–0.08 | 1:350.07–0.06 | 1:470.14–0.00 | 0:300.17–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 2:140.03–0.07 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.07 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Gardiner–Corrado | 3:010.06–0.02 | 2:360.02–0.12 | 1:340.06–0.00 | 1:020.21–0.00 | 1:040.06–0.10 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:440.05–0.02 | 0:450.02–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.02 | 1:130.40–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||
| Hunwick–Marincin | 1:450.00–0.19 | 1:050.03–0.00 | 1:320.03–0.19 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 0:400.03–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.63 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.63 | 0:440.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hunwick–Carrick | 0:320.03–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.07 | 0:330.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 1:000.04–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Marincin–Rielly | 0:480.00–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 24:40 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 4 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 22:47 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 25 | 22:03 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 24 | 21:53 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 2:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 20:37 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 7 | 0 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 25 | 20:15 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 7 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 22 | 19:50 | 0:54 | 2:15 | 7 | 1 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 25 | 19:13 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 18:41 | 0:49 | 2:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 19 | 18:38 | 0:59 | 2:15 | 6 | 0 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 21 | 18:01 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 1 | 5 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 23 | 18:00 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 21 | 17:44 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 22 | 17:19 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 |
 JT BrownTBL | 20 | 17:09 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 19 | 16:48 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 16:43 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 18 | 16:39 | 0:56 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 20 | 16:04 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 6 | 3 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 22 | 15:58 | 0:44 | 2:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Jason GarrisonTBL | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 20 | 15:20 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 20 | 15:04 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Nikita NesterovTBL | 20 | 15:03 | 0:45 | 1:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Colin GreeningTOR | 17 | 13:25 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 7 |
 Brad BoyesTOR | 19 | 13:00 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 6 | 2 |
 Brooks LaichTOR | 18 | 12:27 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 7 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 22 | 12:03 | 0:33 | 0:54 | 3 | 5 |
 Frank CorradoTOR | 15 | 11:46 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 11 | 10:15 | 0:56 | 2:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleTBL | 10 | 6:39 | 0:40 | 0:54 | 2 | 1 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 9 | 5:47 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |