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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 1, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 3, Nashville Predators 5

Away

Dallas Stars

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 1:27Shot by Salomaki, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 3:54Shot by Wilson, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 4:04Shot by Eakin, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Eakin, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 5:14Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi
  8. P1 5:21Shot by Johansen, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 5:34Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 6:15Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 6:22Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 8:20Shot by Roussel, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 10:28Shot by Klingberg, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 11:04Shot by Klingberg, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 11:14Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 12:38Goal by Smith (Ribeiro, Weber)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · DAL Sharp, Oduya, Benn, Demers, Seguin

  17. P1 12:48Goal by Roussel (Eakin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Bitetto · DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg

  18. P1 13:42Shot by Neal, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 15:09Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · DAL Sharp, Oduya, Benn, Demers, Seguin

  20. P1 16:47Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne4v5
  21. P1 16:58Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne4v5
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 17:21Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 17:28Shot by Russell, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 17:38Shot by Johansen, saved by Niemi
  26. P1 18:05Shot by Weber, saved by Niemi
  27. P1 19:08Shot by Eakin, saved by Rinne
  28. P1 19:11Shot by Russell, saved by Rinne
  29. P1 19:59Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Niemi
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:13Shot by Demers, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 0:58Shot by Forsberg, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 1:06Shot by Smith, saved by Niemi
  35. P2 1:35Goal by Jarnkrok (Neal, Bitetto)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Bitetto · DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg

  36. P2 2:02Shot by Hemsky, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 2:35Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 3:35Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 3:53Shot by Gaustad, saved by Niemi
  40. P2 8:26Shot by Josi, saved by Niemi6v5
  41. P2 8:28Benn: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · DAL Spezza, Oduya, Benn, Demers, Nichushkin

  42. P2 9:17Goal by Weber (Josi, Smith)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · DAL Goligoski, Russell, Roussel, Eakin

  43. P2 9:48Goal by Ekholm (Wilson, Arvidsson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Arvidsson · DAL Sharp, Oduya, Benn, Demers, Seguin

  44. P2 10:18Shot by Hemsky, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 11:06Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 11:32Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 12:00Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 12:25Shot by Spezza, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 12:42Bitetto: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Watson, Granberg, Bitetto, Salomaki · DAL Hemsky, Oduya, Demers, Roussel, Eakin

  50. P2 12:42Roussel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Watson, Granberg, Bitetto, Salomaki · DAL Hemsky, Oduya, Demers, Roussel, Eakin

  51. P2 13:41Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  52. P2 14:45Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lehtonen
  53. P2 14:57Shot by Roussel, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 15:07Josi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok, Bitetto · DAL Demers, Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg, Nichushkin

  55. P2 15:45Shot by Salomaki, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  56. P2 16:06Salomaki: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Weber, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Salomaki · DAL Spezza, Eakin, Seguin, Klingberg, Nichushkin

  57. P2 16:17Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne3v5
  58. P2 16:27Shot by Benn, saved by Rinne3v5
  59. P2 16:28Goal by Spezza (Benn, Klingberg)3v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Weber, Ekholm · DAL Spezza, Sharp, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg

  60. P2 18:23Shot by Fiddler, saved by Rinne
  61. P2 18:30Faksa: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Arvidsson · DAL Fiddler, Russell, Sceviour, Benn, Faksa

  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:53Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 2:06Shot by Roussel, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 2:54Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 3:02Demers: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Arvidsson · DAL Spezza, Oduya, Demers, Janmark, Nichushkin

  68. P3 3:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  69. P3 5:03Shot by Weber, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 5:13Shot by Neal, saved by Lehtonen
  71. P3 5:37Goal by Neal (Weber, Johansen)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen · DAL Russell, Benn, Sceviour, Benn, Seguin

  72. P3 6:01Shot by Klingberg, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 6:04Roussel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Granberg, Bitetto, Arvidsson · DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg

  74. P3 6:11Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  75. P3 7:42Shot by Fisher, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  76. P3 10:30Goal by Fiddler (Goligoski, Roussel)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Salomaki · DAL Hemsky, Fiddler, Goligoski, Roussel, Klingberg

  77. P3 11:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Rinne
  78. P3 11:08Shot by Demers, saved by Rinne
  79. P3 11:14Shot by Sceviour, saved by Rinne
  80. P3 11:16Shot by Oduya, saved by Rinne
  81. P3 12:19Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne
  82. P3 12:29Shot by Goligoski, saved by Rinne
  83. P3 12:42Shot by Neal, saved by Lehtonen
  84. P3 15:25Shot by Salomaki, saved by Lehtonen
  85. P3 15:49Shot by Ellis, saved by Lehtonen
  86. P3 17:28Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Rinne
  87. P3 19:47Benn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki · DAL Goligoski, Benn, Sceviour, Seguin, Klingberg

  88. P3 19:47Gaustad: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki · DAL Goligoski, Benn, Sceviour, Seguin, Klingberg

  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final