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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 1, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Dallas Stars 3, Nashville Predators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Spezza–Janmark–NichushkinHemsky–Roussel–EakinFiddler–Sceviour–FaksaSharp–Benn–SeguinSharp–Seguin–JanmarkBenn–Eakin–SeguinSpezza–Benn–NichushkinSpezza–Hemsky–NichushkinGoligoski–KlingbergOduya–DemersRussell–BennRussell–DemersRussell–Klingberg
Ribeiro–Smith–Forsberg1:570.04–0.002:110.19–0.052:200.53–0.030:420.00–0.001:590.32–0.012:530.34–0.063:010.16–0.031:120.00–0.000:300.00–0.03
Neal–Jarnkrok–Johansen2:010.27–0.061:570.00–0.382:080.21–0.000:440.05–0.010:420.00–0.004:180.77–0.291:530.00–0.003:000.20–0.05
Fisher–Wilson–Arvidsson3:020.21–0.051:440.00–0.001:370.06–0.030:320.00–0.001:240.00–0.053:150.25–0.033:380.03–0.05
Gaustad–Watson–Salomaki3:010.08–0.080:530.00–0.010:540.00–0.004:100.04–0.012:060.11–0.070:470.00–0.03
Weber–Josi1:350.10–0.020:580.00–0.024:330.61–0.080:540.00–0.021:100.05–0.033:460.56–0.314:590.51–0.103:520.17–0.10
Ellis–Ekholm3:470.25–0.091:470.09–0.030:310.03–0.001:030.00–0.003:340.09–0.102:020.24–0.001:340.04–0.00
Ekholm–Granberg2:440.18–0.012:270.08–0.000:320.00–0.002:220.20–0.012:320.00–0.022:140.06–0.00
Ellis–Bitetto4:070.18–0.370:400.00–0.013:250.21–0.220:500.07–0.021:420.12–0.03
Granberg–Bitetto1:170.00–0.091:590.13–0.000:320.00–0.001:160.13–0.021:480.00–0.071:280.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFisher FWilson FArvidsson FSalomaki FGaustad FWatson FSmith FRibeiro FForsberg FNeal FJarnkrok FJohansen FGranberg DEkholm DBitetto DEllis DWeber DJosi DRinne GFaksa FSceviour FFiddler FRoussel FHemsky FEakin FBenn FSharp FSeguin FJanmark FSpezza FNichushkin FDemers DOduya DGoligoski DKlingberg DRussell DBenn DNiemi GLehtonen G
NSHDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH2826:460:573:0435
Roman JosiNSH2825:120:542:3635
Alex GoligoskiDAL2625:050:582:0243
John KlingbergDAL2322:370:593:0841
Mattias EkholmNSH2622:320:521:2336
Jason DemersDAL3120:040:391:2135
Ryan EllisNSH2520:030:481:2455
Filip ForsbergNSH2219:130:522:0271
Mike RibeiroNSH2118:290:532:0270
Jamie BennDAL2418:230:461:5572
Kris RussellDAL2418:210:461:2254
Tyler SeguinDAL2017:560:542:3931
Jason SpezzaDAL2117:450:511:4140
Johnny OduyaDAL2417:120:432:4915
Craig SmithNSH2216:560:462:0270
Mike FisherNSH2516:490:401:2426
Ales HemskyDAL2215:590:441:2454
Valeri NichushkinDAL2015:430:471:2130
James NealNSH2215:200:421:2526
Cody EakinDAL2414:450:371:0644
Calle JarnkrokNSH2314:290:381:0928
Ryan JohansenNSH1814:050:471:2526
Vernon FiddlerDAL2213:430:371:2527
Jordie BennDAL2013:310:411:2432
Antoine RousselDAL2413:280:341:2135
Colton SceviourDAL2313:190:351:1246
Petter GranbergNSH1713:030:461:1543
Mattias JanmarkDAL1612:500:481:2520
Anthony BitettoNSH1612:490:481:1552
Miikka SalomakiNSH2112:320:361:2318
Austin WatsonNSH1911:520:371:0117
Paul GaustadNSH2111:410:331:01112
Radek FaksaDAL1811:270:381:0622
Patrick SharpDAL1311:110:521:3240
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1610:310:391:1513
Colin WilsonNSH1710:190:361:1516