Sat, Mar 5, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
46%
9%
10%
34%
BUF winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31:27 | 0.06 | – | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:49 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.30 | – | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:20 | 0.36 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.12 | – | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.01 | – | +39.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.29 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.15 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.15 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.46 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:09 | 0.02 | – | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:20 | 0.03 | – | +19.2 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.47 | +0.5 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:38 | 0.05 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:42 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:04 | 0.08 | – | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:54 | 0.80 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.16 | – | +45.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.28 | – | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.24 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 | 0.44 | – | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:32 | 0.10 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.02 | – | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.16 | +0.2 | 65:00 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.