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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 5, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Minnesota Wild 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Koivu–Parise–CoyleVanek–Zucker–GranlundPominville–Haula–NiederreiterStoll–Jones–CarterParise–Haula–CoyleSuter–SpurgeonScandella–DumbaReilly–BrodinSuter–BrodinScandella–BrodinSuter–Dumba
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson8:060.06–0.280:500.04–0.030:460.00–0.006:150.04–0.271:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.071:130.02–0.00
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel1:370.00–0.031:380.00–0.122:430.15–0.190:530.00–0.031:310.04–0.012:500.11–0.220:460.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:500.01–0.12
O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Girgensons3:000.04–0.001:000.00–0.030:590.00–0.001:210.00–0.031:310.00–0.002:160.04–0.00
Legwand–Moulson–Catenacci1:350.00–0.002:230.04–0.002:050.00–0.091:390.04–0.000:370.00–0.00
Legwand–Moulson–Deslauriers0:350.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Gorges–Ristolainen8:260.03–0.311:090.00–0.001:330.01–0.000:540.00–0.037:230.02–0.282:040.00–0.031:250.00–0.071:390.02–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe0:450.04–0.002:110.01–0.194:280.19–0.262:530.04–0.003:430.06–0.184:260.16–0.210:580.01–0.002:010.01–0.12
Colaiacovo–Pysyk4:320.08–0.001:180.01–0.000:410.00–0.001:070.00–0.002:550.05–0.002:450.03–0.000:430.06–0.00
Gorges–Pysyk0:430.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGionta FLarsson FFoligno FO'Reilly FGirgensons FDeslauriers FKane FReinhart FEichel FLegwand FMoulson FCatenacci FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DColaiacovo DPysyk DLehner GCoyle FKoivu FParise FNiederreiter FPominville FHaula FZucker FVanek FGranlund FJones FCarter FStoll FScandella DDumba DSuter DSpurgeon DReilly DBrodin DDubnyk G
BUFMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterMIN3231:270:591:3946
Zach BogosianBUF3327:380:501:3883
Jake McCabeBUF3125:420:501:5074
Jared SpurgeonMIN3024:490:501:3956
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3123:040:451:1754
Marco ScandellaMIN2922:550:471:3218
Evander KaneBUF2621:540:511:3041
Charlie CoyleMIN2421:200:531:5263
Jack EichelBUF2421:170:531:3052
Mikko KoivuMIN2721:050:471:2054
Zach PariseMIN2620:010:461:2362
Josh GorgesBUF2719:570:441:2133
Mathew DumbaMIN2519:460:471:3835
Sam ReinhartBUF2219:350:531:3042
Brian GiontaBUF2719:010:421:2024
Mikael GranlundMIN2418:090:451:3232
Johan LarssonBUF2418:000:451:3043
Erik HaulaMIN2517:510:431:1815
Jason ZuckerMIN2016:590:511:3220
Marcus FolignoBUF2316:290:431:1323
Jonas BrodinMIN2316:170:421:3803
Thomas VanekMIN1915:170:481:2021
Jason PominvilleMIN2215:150:421:1824
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1714:520:521:3250
Mark PysykBUF2214:320:401:1720
Cal O'ReillyBUF1914:190:451:2061
Nino NiederreiterMIN2013:580:421:1812
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF2213:380:371:0910
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1912:460:401:0441
Matt MoulsonBUF1310:210:481:3730
David LegwandBUF1410:190:441:3731
Mike ReillyMIN169:460:371:1000
Jarret StollMIN139:210:430:5805
Ryan CarterMIN129:090:461:0104
Daniel CatenacciBUF129:020:451:4720
David JonesMIN127:200:370:5703