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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 5, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Brown, saved by Lack
  3. P1 2:37Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Lack
  4. P1 4:00Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 5:44Shot by Garrison, saved by Lack
  6. P1 6:52Shot by Boyle, saved by Lack
  7. P1 9:28Shot by Terry, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 11:51Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 12:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 14:29Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop5v6
  11. P1 14:31Hedman: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Hainsey, Nash, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin

  12. P1 14:50Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop4v5
  13. P1 15:12Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bishop4v5
  14. P1 16:27Shot by Slavin, saved by Bishop4v5
  15. P1 16:43Goal by Palat (Johnson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Gerbe, Terry, Malone, Pesce

  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:48Shot by Rask, saved by Bishop
  19. P2 1:17Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lack
  20. P2 1:31Shot by Callahan, saved by Lack
  21. P2 2:22Shot by Coburn, saved by Lack
  22. P2 2:28Shot by Boyle, saved by Lack
  23. P2 3:32Shot by Garrison, saved by Lack
  24. P2 3:42Shot by Garrison, saved by Lack
  25. P2 3:55Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 5:35Shot by Brown, saved by Lack
  27. P2 5:47Shot by Jordan, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 8:39Shot by Jordan, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 8:52Shot by Jordan, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 9:08Shot by Ryan, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 9:12Ryan: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Nesterov, Namestnikov · CAR Terry, Jordan, Murphy, McGinn, Ryan

  32. P2 10:06Shot by Slavin, saved by Bishop5v4
  33. P2 10:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lack5v4
  34. P2 12:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 13:24Goal by Rask (Di Giuseppe, Skinner)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Nesterov, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin

  36. P2 14:53Shot by Condra, saved by Lack
  37. P2 15:41Goal by Palat (Kucherov)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov · CAR Terry, McGinn, Pesce, Hanifin, Ryan

  38. P2 19:28Shot by Hanifin, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 2:22Filppula: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Garrison, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette · CAR Gerbe, Nash, Malone, Murphy, Pesce

  42. P3 3:09Goal by Staal (Lindholm, Rask)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · CAR Staal, Nash, Rask, Lindholm, Hanifin

  43. P3 3:43Shot by Garrison, saved by Lack
  44. P3 5:45Nash: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Gerbe, Nash, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin

  45. P3 5:45Nash: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Carle, Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Gerbe, Nash, Pesce, Lindholm, Hanifin

  46. P3 8:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lack5v4
  47. P3 9:42Shot by Johnson, saved by Lack5v4
  48. P3 10:16Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 10:18Goal by Skinner (Di Giuseppe, Murphy)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov · CAR Skinner, Rask, Murphy, Di Giuseppe, Hanifin

  50. P3 10:43Paquette: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Brown, Paquette · CAR Staal, Nordstrom, Pesce, Hanifin, Ryan

  51. P3 11:15Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Bishop4v5
  52. P3 13:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lack
  53. P3 13:42Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Namestnikov)+37 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Namestnikov · CAR Hainsey, Gerbe, Rask, Pesce, Ryan

  54. P3 14:49Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 16:05Shot by Palat, saved by Lack
  56. P3 16:06Hainsey: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nordstrom, Slavin, Lindholm

  57. P3 17:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Lack5v4
  58. P3 18:09Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lack
  59. P3 18:37Shot by Paquette, saved by Lack
  60. P3 19:21Shot by Callahan, saved by Lack
  61. P3 19:31Shot by Stralman, saved by Lack
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. OT 0:00Period start
  64. OT 0:18Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bishop3v3
  65. OT 0:26Shot by Palat, saved by Lack3v3
  66. OT 0:47Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop3v3
  67. OT 1:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lack3v3
  68. OT 2:14Shot by Nesterov, saved by Lack3v3
  69. OT 3:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop3v3
  70. OT 3:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop3v3
  71. OT 4:17Goal by Killorn (Filppula)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Killorn, Garrison · CAR Hainsey, Nordstrom, Rask

  72. OT 4:17Period end
  73. OT 4:17Final