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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 5, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Nordstrom–LindholmSkinner–Rask–Di GiuseppeTerry–McGinn–RyanGerbe–Nash–MaloneGerbe–Nash–LindholmStaal–Nordstrom–RyanHainsey–SlavinPesce–HanifinJordan–MurphyHainsey–PesceMurphy–SlavinJordan–SlavinJordan–HanifinMurphy–Hanifin
Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos1:370.07–0.005:420.05–0.230:460.02–0.002:340.05–0.117:060.09–0.142:300.08–0.140:330.00–0.001:100.00–0.060:560.00–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov2:580.15–0.001:480.08–0.262:030.03–0.021:280.00–0.003:050.14–0.045:010.11–0.000:570.13–0.000:330.00–0.26
Filppula–Brown–Paquette4:180.04–0.042:250.00–0.132:470.01–0.101:260.00–0.123:220.04–0.000:580.02–0.01
Boyle–Condra–Namestnikov1:180.12–0.003:510.06–0.140:360.00–0.001:090.00–0.001:520.10–0.003:050.06–0.14
Johnson–Kucherov–Namestnikov0:390.09–0.00
Stralman–Hedman7:410.22–0.001:390.05–0.141:300.03–0.020:530.00–0.004:250.05–0.045:310.14–0.142:040.06–0.000:590.05–0.000:360.02–0.01
Carle–Garrison1:250.02–0.004:290.00–0.232:300.04–0.002:030.01–0.116:180.08–0.201:450.00–0.073:180.04–0.000:400.00–0.06
Coburn–Nesterov0:590.01–0.042:490.08–0.073:380.05–0.142:170.05–0.003:450.03–0.074:110.14–0.042:100.00–0.140:380.00–0.00
Garrison–Hedman0:300.02–0.001:050.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Carle–Stralman0:510.15–0.000:410.00–0.001:330.11–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPaquette FBrown FFilppula FKillorn FStamkos FCallahan FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FNamestnikov FCondra FBoyle FStralman DHedman DGarrison DCarle DCoburn DNesterov DBishop GStaal FLindholm FNordstrom FRask FDi Giuseppe FSkinner FNash FGerbe FMalone FRyan FTerry FMcGinn FHainsey DSlavin DMurphy DJordan DHanifin DPesce DLack G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR3429:540:531:5724
Ron HainseyCAR3326:130:481:4434
Anton StralmanTBL3125:500:501:3563
Victor HedmanTBL3224:440:461:4324
Steven StamkosTBL2622:490:531:1954
Jordan StaalCAR2921:180:441:4444
Elias LindholmCAR2720:450:461:4444
Brett PesceCAR2619:570:462:1124
Ryan CallahanTBL2319:450:521:2463
Jason GarrisonTBL2719:280:431:1603
Alex KillornTBL2419:200:481:1964
Nikita KucherovTBL2119:200:551:3630
Noah HanifinCAR2419:050:481:1544
Joakim NordstromCAR2619:010:441:4423
Ondrej PalatTBL2218:510:511:3341
Victor RaskCAR2418:420:471:3444
Matt CarleTBL2618:230:421:1623
Tyler JohnsonTBL2217:590:491:2741
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2117:220:501:2843
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR2317:100:451:1322
Jeff SkinnerCAR2315:520:411:0523
Braydon CoburnTBL1814:110:471:1122
Nikita NesterovTBL2014:040:421:0643
JT BrownTBL1813:590:471:1811
Ryan MurphyCAR2213:220:361:1332
Michal JordanCAR2013:150:401:1620
Nathan GerbeCAR2113:090:381:2122
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1513:020:521:2732
Cedric PaquetteTBL1713:000:461:2400
Derek RyanCAR1812:160:411:1122
Brock McGinnCAR1612:020:451:2824
Riley NashCAR1811:310:381:2120
Brad MaloneCAR2011:280:341:2123
Chris TerryCAR159:550:401:0532
Brian BoyleTBL128:520:441:1123
Erik CondraTBL97:050:471:0522