Sat, Mar 5, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
11%
38%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 29:54 | 0.07 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 Ron HainseyD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:13 | 0.13 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.13 | 16.8% | +28.4 |
 Elias LindholmC · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 15.8% | +28.4 |
 Brett PesceD · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.18 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.07 | 16.9% | 0.0 |
 Victor RaskC · #49 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.17 | 72.0% | +52.7 |
 Phillip Di GiuseppeLW · #34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.28 | 74.2% | +57.7 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 15:52 | 0.71 | 79.9% | +57.7 |
 Ryan MurphyD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 68.5% | +33.4 |
 Michal JordanD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.04 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Nathan GerbeC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.12 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Brock McGinnLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Riley NashC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:31 | 0.08 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Brad MaloneC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.11 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Chris TerryLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.02 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Eddie Lack#31 | O | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.12 | −1.9 | 64:13 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:50 | 0.03 | 75.1% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.09 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:49 | 0.12 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.03 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Jason GarrisonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.10 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.10 | 31.8% | +52.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:20 | 0.21 | 56.7% | +62.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.54 | 55.0% | +40.2 |
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.29 | 55.2% | +51.5 |
 Valtteri FilppulaC · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.00 | 36.4% | +52.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.03 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.15 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
 JT BrownRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.06 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.12 | 66.3% | +36.6 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.12 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:52 | 0.11 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Erik CondraRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:05 | 0.01 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
 Ben Bishop#30 | W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 64:17 |