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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 8, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

New York Rangers 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Stalberg–LindbergStepan–Zuccarello–MillerBrassard–Kreider–FastMoore–Glass–HayesKlein–YandleGirardi–McDonaghBoyle–SkjeiKlein–McDonaghGirardi–SkjeiKlein–SkjeiBoyle–Yandle
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel3:560.14–0.302:450.16–0.021:480.08–0.003:090.07–0.051:500.12–0.036:430.18–0.282:010.08–0.040:380.00–0.00
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson1:060.00–0.003:520.10–0.223:070.09–0.000:380.26–0.002:350.15–0.131:460.05–0.003:440.00–0.090:370.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Girgensons2:470.03–0.871:230.00–0.002:460.00–0.005:290.03–0.000:300.00–0.870:370.00–0.000:460.00–0.04
Legwand–Moulson–Catenacci2:310.00–0.150:460.00–0.001:200.00–0.002:010.00–0.041:010.00–0.003:150.01–0.15
Foligno–Deslauriers–Girgensons0:390.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:540.01–0.00
Gionta–Kane–Eichel0:330.02–0.000:400.02–0.000:320.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Catenacci0:420.05–0.000:420.05–0.00
Bogosian–McCabe5:430.20–0.293:530.01–0.213:290.04–0.011:590.07–0.045:310.05–0.144:280.18–0.194:150.03–0.231:110.02–0.00
Gorges–Ristolainen4:060.02–1.054:190.02–0.024:060.07–0.060:320.00–0.064:250.05–0.154:270.02–0.995:080.02–0.111:310.02–0.000:440.01–0.00
Colaiacovo–Pysyk1:080.00–0.001:100.02–0.040:550.00–0.035:400.35–0.024:040.00–0.043:430.10–0.001:220.00–0.00
Pysyk–McCabe1:090.00–0.010:590.12–0.020:310.00–0.00
Colaiacovo–Bogosian0:320.00–0.000:500.04–0.000:400.00–0.00
Gorges–Bogosian0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndO'Reilly FGirgensons FDeslauriers FFoligno FGionta FLarsson FEichel FKane FReinhart FLegwand FMoulson FCatenacci FMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DRistolainen DColaiacovo DPysyk DLehner GJohnson GStaal FLindberg FStalberg FBrassard FFast FKreider FMiller FStepan FZuccarello FGlass FMoore FHayes FKlein DYandle DBoyle DSkjei DGirardi DMcDonagh DRaanta G
BUFNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach BogosianBUF3224:410:461:2654
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3023:590:481:3523
Evander KaneBUF2422:590:571:3041
Ryan McDonaghNYR2522:120:531:2843
Jack EichelBUF2221:561:001:2741
Kevin KleinNYR2821:260:461:2733
Jake McCabeBUF2821:220:461:2633
Josh GorgesBUF2520:360:491:2703
Dan GirardiNYR2420:300:511:1936
Keith YandleNYR2620:100:471:3452
Brian GiontaBUF2017:420:531:3015
Sam ReinhartBUF2117:400:501:2940
Brady SkjeiNYR2417:380:441:1711
Eric StaalNYR2517:280:421:1234
Viktor StalbergNYR2517:240:421:0333
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2016:190:491:3940
Dan BoyleNYR2216:080:441:2121
Oscar LindbergNYR2315:570:421:0633
Derick BrassardNYR2115:560:461:1750
Mark PysykBUF2215:410:431:2572
Johan LarssonBUF1615:370:591:3311
Marcus FolignoBUF1815:190:511:3204
Jesper FastNYR2214:590:411:0042
Chris KreiderNYR2014:290:431:1160
Derek StepanNYR2214:270:391:3042
J.T. MillerNYR2014:150:431:3930
Cal O'ReillyBUF2013:570:421:1742
Dominic MooreNYR1913:080:411:1817
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2012:540:391:1520
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1712:250:441:0812
Tanner GlassNYR1912:180:391:0916
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF1711:370:411:3061
Kevin HayesNYR1711:160:401:0915
Matt MoulsonBUF1311:060:511:1740
David LegwandBUF1310:100:471:2732
Daniel CatenacciBUF109:010:541:1620