Thu, Mar 10, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 2, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 78% of the time.
72%
15%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 26:36 | 0.16 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 23:08 | 0.46 | 68.7% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 23:03 | 0.14 | 55.8% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:12 | 0.38 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.02 | 60.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.49 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.11 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 17:44 | 0.18 | 39.4% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.04 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.11 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.13 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.07 | 49.1% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.00 | 41.2% | +32.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.95 | −0.1 | 57:34 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 29:55 | 0.08 | 36.7% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 29:25 | 0.63 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.06 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 20:28 | 0.55 | 70.2% | +24.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:19 | 1.06 | 61.4% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.45 | 53.3% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.05 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.17 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:54 | 0.33 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.01 | 65.8% | +61.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.06 | 34.9% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.01 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.13 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.40 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.03 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.04 | 37.5% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:29 | 0.02 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.27 | +0.3 | 60:00 |