Sat, Mar 12, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 71% of the time.
21%
8%
9%
62%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:40 | 0.02 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:13 | 0.11 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 20:45 | 0.23 | 59.5% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.08 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.19 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.18 | 67.6% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.33 | 65.9% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.57 | 72.9% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.16 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.16 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.66 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.06 | 90.5% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.08 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.05 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.11 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 1.81 | −1.2 | 64:59 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 26:17 | 0.24 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:16 | 0.03 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 22:07 | 0.38 | 27.7% | +82.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.15 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.06 | 38.7% | +24.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:34 | 0.38 | 23.5% | +82.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:49 | 0.03 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.14 | 37.5% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.24 | 58.8% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.01 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.12 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.02 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 3.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.98 | +1.0 | 64:59 |