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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 12, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 71% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:55Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 6:46Pesce: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · CAR Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Pesce, Hanifin

  4. P1 6:44Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward
  5. P1 10:21Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 10:33Larsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nordstrom, Slavin, Lindholm

  7. P1 12:18Shot by Hanifin, saved by Johnson4v5
  8. P1 12:48Shot by Hanifin, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 13:20Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 16:15Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  11. P1 17:43Shot by Rask, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 17:45Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 18:14Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  14. P1 18:35Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · CAR Staal, Jordan, Nordstrom, Murphy, Lindholm

  15. P1 19:18Shot by Kane, saved by Ward5v4
  16. P1 19:43Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward5v4
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:30Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Johnson
  20. P2 3:42Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  21. P2 5:33Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Johnson
  22. P2 6:26Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward
  23. P2 6:42Goal by Di Giuseppe (Skinner)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CAR Jordan, Skinner, Rask, Murphy, Di Giuseppe

  24. P2 7:52Goal by Foligno (Gionta)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · CAR Staal, Jordan, Nordstrom, Murphy, Lindholm

  25. P2 9:33Shot by Woods, saved by Johnson
  26. P2 9:49Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  27. P2 9:49Kane: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Girgensons, Ristolainen · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Malone, Woods, Slavin

  28. P2 12:32Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  29. P2 12:58Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Ward
  30. P2 13:22Jordan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe · CAR Staal, Jordan, Nordstrom, Murphy, Lindholm

  31. P2 13:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Ward5v4
  32. P2 13:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Ward5v4
  33. P2 15:40Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 15:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 17:00Shot by Terry, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 18:53Shot by Pysyk, saved by Ward
  37. P2 19:18Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward
  38. P2 19:57Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:59Shot by Foligno, saved by Ward
  42. P3 1:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  43. P3 1:49Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  44. P3 4:56Goal by Eichel (Reinhart, Kane)+30 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin

  45. P3 5:57Shot by Woods, saved by Johnson
  46. P3 8:09Kane: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Kane, Pysyk, Reinhart, Eichel · CAR Gerbe, Terry, Nash, Pesce, Hanifin

  47. P3 8:47Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson4v5
  48. P3 9:01Goal by Rask (Nash, Lindholm)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gionta, Gorges, Ristolainen · CAR Staal, Nash, Rask, Lindholm, Hanifin

  49. P3 9:30Shot by Malone, saved by Johnson
  50. P3 9:32Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  51. P3 9:36Shot by Slavin, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 9:30Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 10:02Skinner: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin

  54. P3 10:32Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson5v4
  55. P3 15:32Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  56. P3 16:01Shot by Murphy, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 16:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 19:03Shot by Gionta, saved by Ward
  59. P3 19:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Ward
  60. P3 19:19Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  61. P3 19:52Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. OT 0:00Period start
  64. OT 0:40Shot by Hanifin, saved by Johnson3v3
  65. OT 0:51Shot by Kane, saved by Ward3v3
  66. OT 2:08Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward3v3
  67. OT 3:06Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson3v3
  68. OT 4:59Goal by Eichel (Kane)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, Eichel · CAR Skinner, Murphy, Di Giuseppe

  69. OT 4:59Period end
  70. OT 4:59Final