Sat, Mar 12, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 71% of the time.
21%
8%
9%
62%
BUF winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Rask–Di Giuseppe | Staal–Nordstrom–Lindholm | Gerbe–Terry–Nash | McClement–Malone–Woods | McClement–Malone–Nordstrom | Hainsey–Slavin | Pesce–Hanifin | Jordan–Murphy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | 4:290.21–0.44 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.13 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 6:050.19–0.39 | 3:430.00–0.31 | 0:360.00–0.13 |
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | 2:590.08–0.05 | 6:280.18–0.17 | 1:110.04–0.00 | 3:530.08–0.04 | 4:080.09–0.00 | 3:050.13–0.16 | ||
| O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Girgensons | 1:000.00–0.05 | 4:440.02–0.00 | 1:150.13–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.73 | 2:280.00–0.78 | 2:370.16–0.00 | 2:480.00–0.02 | |
| Legwand–Moulson–Catenacci | 0:500.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 1:150.00–0.08 | 2:020.00–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.13 | 3:070.00–0.10 | |
| Foligno–Deslauriers–Girgensons | 0:550.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | |||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 2:040.04–0.18 | 9:240.20–0.22 | 2:480.13–0.00 | 5:500.07–0.22 | 6:350.21–0.20 | 4:110.10–0.16 | ||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 8:400.28–0.66 | 1:100.00–0.03 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.14 | 5:510.19–0.15 | 4:400.00–0.50 | 4:160.16–0.27 | |
| Colaiacovo–Pysyk | 0:420.00–0.00 | 6:110.04–0.21 | 1:370.04–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.75 | 3:230.10–0.88 | 2:270.06–0.00 | 3:450.00–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 31 | 26:40 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 1 | 6 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 30 | 26:17 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 34 | 26:16 | 0:46 | 2:06 | 8 | 6 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 28 | 25:13 | 0:54 | 2:35 | 2 | 6 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 25 | 22:07 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 3 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 25 | 21:49 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 5 | 6 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 29 | 21:45 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 3 | 8 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 21:34 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 7 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 26 | 20:49 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 |
 Elias LindholmCAR | 27 | 20:45 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 6 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 25 | 19:50 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Noah HanifinCAR | 23 | 19:22 | 0:51 | 2:41 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan MurphyCAR | 21 | 19:09 | 0:55 | 2:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 22 | 19:01 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 4 | 4 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 18:49 | 0:42 | 1:57 | 2 | 6 |
 Brett PesceCAR | 23 | 18:40 | 0:49 | 2:41 | 1 | 5 |
 Victor RaskCAR | 23 | 17:49 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 7 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 27 | 17:32 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 5 | 6 |
 Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR | 21 | 17:16 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 Joakim NordstromCAR | 25 | 16:37 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 4 | 6 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 24 | 16:21 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 3 | 6 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 24 | 15:59 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Michal JordanCAR | 20 | 15:43 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Cal O'ReillyBUF | 19 | 15:31 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 8 | 1 |
 Nathan GerbeCAR | 22 | 15:31 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 13:59 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 5 | 2 |
 Jay McClementCAR | 18 | 13:56 | 0:46 | 2:35 | 1 | 5 |
 Riley NashCAR | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Brad MaloneCAR | 17 | 12:48 | 0:45 | 2:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 15 | 12:08 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Carlo ColaiacovoBUF | 18 | 11:39 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Chris TerryCAR | 15 | 9:32 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 David LegwandBUF | 12 | 9:21 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 12 | 9:09 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Brendan WoodsCAR | 9 | 7:34 | 0:50 | 2:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Daniel CatenacciBUF | 9 | 6:42 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |