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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 15, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:21Shot by Komarov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:10Shot by Boyle, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 3:53Parenteau: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Komarov, Gardiner, Smith, Corrado · TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Palat, Namestnikov, Sustr

  5. P1 5:44Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  6. P1 6:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 7:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 14:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 15:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 15:55Shot by Sustr, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 17:50Shot by Laich, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 19:21Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P1 15:36Shot by Parenteau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:14Shot by Grabner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P2 0:33Corrado: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laich, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Corrado · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Namestnikov, Sustr

  18. P2 0:40Shot by Callahan, saved by Bernier4v5
  19. P2 4:03Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P2 5:25Shot by Callahan, saved by Bernier
  21. P2 7:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  22. P2 8:03Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  23. P2 8:11Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 8:20Shot by Corrado, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 8:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 12:26Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 13:21Shot by Carrick, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 13:34Goal by Carrick (Holland, Greening)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laich, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Carrick · TBL Boyle, Carle, Callahan, Garrison, Brown

  29. P2 15:55Marchessault: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laich, Parenteau, Corrado, Valiev, Nylander · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Blunden, Marchessault, Sustr

  30. P2 16:30Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 16:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier5v4
  32. P2 18:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 19:11Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Soshnikov · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov

  34. P2 0:00Period end
  35. P3 0:00Period start
  36. P3 0:25Stralman: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Holland, Rielly, Soshnikov · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Stralman, Brown

  37. P3 0:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  38. P3 2:17Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  39. P3 2:27Shot by Holland, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P3 2:35Holland: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Soshnikov · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Sustr

  41. P3 2:35Holland: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Soshnikov · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Sustr

  42. P3 2:35Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Greening, Gardiner, Holland, Soshnikov · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Sustr

  43. P3 3:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P3 4:05Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P3 5:49Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  46. P3 6:21Shot by Stralman, saved by Bernier
  47. P3 6:33Goal by Boyle (Stralman)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laich, Greening, Smith, Corrado, Valiev · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown

  48. P3 8:20Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  49. P3 9:06Shot by Grabner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 9:07Goal by Smith (Grabner, Michalek)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Grabner, Smith, Marincin, Rielly · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  51. P3 9:31Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 10:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 11:13Shot by Greening, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 11:45Shot by Sustr, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 13:40Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 13:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 13:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 16:06Shot by Nesterov, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 17:22Callahan: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Garrison, Marchessault

  60. P3 4:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier4v5
  61. P3 17:22Parenteau: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Garrison, Marchessault

  62. P3 4:08Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier4v5
  63. P3 17:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier4v5
  64. P3 18:27Goal by Hyman (Smith, Marincin)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Smith, Marincin, Hyman, Rielly · TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov

  65. P3 18:52Shot by Boyle, saved by Bernier4v5
  66. P3 19:47Goal by Parenteau (Hyman, Marincin)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Smith, Marincin, Hyman, Rielly · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Nesterov

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final