Tue, Mar 15, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
10%
30%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.02 | 40.0% | +29.4 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:55 | 0.35 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:26 | 0.33 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.03 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.35 | 31.1% | +29.4 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.32 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.08 | 78.7% | 0.0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.13 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.27 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.33 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SustrD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.04 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.03 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Jason GarrisonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.02 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 JT BrownRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.08 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.03 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Mike BlundenRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.04 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 1.56 | −0.4 | 58:06 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 27:42 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 26:41 | 0.02 | 43.9% | +5.7 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.07 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.04 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.08 | 26.9% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.06 | 19.4% | 0.0 |
 Ben SmithRW · #26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.33 | 69.2% | +36.7 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.82 | 59.1% | +5.7 |
 PA ParenteauRW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.86 | 63.3% | +0.1 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.07 | 47.9% | +31.1 |
 William NylanderRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.20 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Brooks LaichC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.05 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.07 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.06 | 57.5% | +24.5 |
 Colin GreeningC · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.02 | 64.5% | +24.5 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.19 | 68.2% | +24.5 |
 Milan MichalekLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 92.2% | +31.1 |
 Rinat ValievD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan Bernier#45 | W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.45 | +1.5 | 60:00 |