Thu, Mar 17, 2016·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
9%
35%
DAL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:45 | 0.04 | 59.6% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.00 | 39.3% | +25.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.31 | 63.8% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.28 | 65.2% | +48.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:48 | 0.73 | 67.5% | +52.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.02 | 28.1% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.24 | 7.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.07 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.03 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.25 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.12 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.11 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.18 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.81 | −1.2 | 58:37 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:18 | 0.03 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:38 | 0.02 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.04 | 72.3% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.02 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:51 | 0.12 | 56.9% | +35.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 18:02 | 0.49 | 75.6% | +91.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17:33 | 0.55 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.26 | 36.4% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.21 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.08 | 31.4% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.14 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.05 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.42 | 65.2% | +91.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.21 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.04 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.13 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.01 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.45 | −0.5 | 60:00 |