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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Zach BogosianD · #47000−3425:000.1022.3%0.0
Rasmus RistolainenD · #55000−1423:360.0716.4%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #29000−2023:020.0817.9%0.0
Evander KaneLW · #9000−2022:500.0221.8%0.0
Ryan O'ReillyC · #90000−1121:360.0522.5%0.0
Josh GorgesD · #4000−1019:080.0220.2%0.0
Johan LarssonLW · #220000017:320.0020.9%0.0
Brian GiontaRW · #12101−2217:020.0821.8%+19.6
Mark PysykD · #30000115:470.0160.3%0.0
Marcus FolignoLW · #820110014:520.0032.6%+19.6
Sam ReinhartC · #23000−1114:250.1354.5%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28000−1214:140.1043.1%0.0
Cal O'ReillyC · #190000112:510.1044.9%0.0
Matt MoulsonLW · #260000112:190.0427.8%0.0
Carlo ColaiacovoD · #250000111:490.0758.6%0.0
Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #440000210:570.1037.1%0.0
David LegwandC · #170000110:040.0144.8%0.0
Daniel CatenacciC · #43000008:560.000.0%0.0
Chad Johnson#31L31274.8711.82−2.260:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake GardinerD · #51011+2425:330.1169.4%+31.3
Morgan RiellyD · #44011+2324:320.1274.2%+0.9
Martin MarincinD · #52101+1222:570.0974.2%+8.8
Connor CarrickD · #8101+1118:380.1179.3%+31.3
Nazem KadriC · #43000+1017:420.1587.3%0.0
Ben SmithRW · #26000+1116:430.0573.2%0.0
Nikita SoshnikovRW · #41011+1516:120.2883.5%+8.8
Michael GrabnerLW · #400000215:460.0482.1%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #110000215:420.1547.5%0.0
William NylanderRW · #39112+2115:270.0853.9%+56.9
Rinat ValievD · #290000114:480.0155.2%0.0
Colin GreeningC · #38011+1314:290.1977.1%+0.9
Milan MichalekLW · #18112+2214:270.2273.4%+26.5
PA ParenteauRW · #15022+3214:230.0460.3%+34.4
Josh LeivoLW · #32000−1012:340.0556.0%0.0
Frank CorradoD · #20000−1111:430.0156.5%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #160000111:280.0159.8%0.0
Frederik GauthierC · #54000−1010:560.1053.7%0.0
Garret Sparks#31W21201.9520.990.060:00