Sat, Mar 19, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
57%
11%
12%
20%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 25:00 | 0.10 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:36 | 0.07 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:02 | 0.08 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:50 | 0.02 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.05 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.02 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.08 | 21.8% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.01 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 32.6% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.13 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.10 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.10 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.04 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.07 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.10 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.01 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 1.82 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:33 | 0.11 | 69.4% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:32 | 0.12 | 74.2% | +0.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.09 | 74.2% | +8.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.11 | 79.3% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.15 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.05 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:12 | 0.28 | 83.5% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.04 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.15 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.08 | 53.9% | +56.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.01 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:29 | 0.19 | 77.1% | +0.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.22 | 73.4% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.04 | 60.3% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.05 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.01 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.01 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.10 | 53.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 0.99 | 0.0 | 60:00 |