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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:43Shot by Corrado, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 3:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks
  4. P1 4:03Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 4:31Goal by Gionta (Foligno)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Corrado, Leivo, Brown, Gauthier, Valiev · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk

  6. P1 6:23Shot by Marincin, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 6:45Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sparks
  8. P1 8:25Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 9:33Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 10:48Shot by Brown, saved by Johnson
  11. P1 12:20Shot by Michalek, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 12:30Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 12:59Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 13:41Rielly: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Marincin, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander · BUF Moulson, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe

  15. P1 16:33Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 16:51Shot by Valiev, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:02Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  20. P2 2:27Shot by Legwand, saved by Sparks
  21. P2 2:36Shot by Pysyk, saved by Sparks
  22. P2 2:57Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Sparks
  23. P2 4:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  24. P2 4:53Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  25. P2 5:35Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sparks
  26. P2 6:46Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks
  27. P2 7:27Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 8:53Shot by Moulson, saved by Sparks
  29. P2 9:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  30. P2 9:29Shot by Grabner, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 9:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 11:09Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  33. P2 12:51Ristolainen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Leivo, Brown, Gauthier, Valiev · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  34. P2 14:46Shot by Parenteau, saved by Johnson5v4
  35. P2 14:55Goal by Nylander (Parenteau, Michalek)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Michalek, Gardiner, Brown, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Kane, Pysyk, Ristolainen

  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 2:12Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Sparks
  39. P3 3:40Corrado: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Corrado, Leivo, Brown, Gauthier, Valiev · BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Moulson, Pysyk, Catenacci

  40. P3 3:44Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks4v5
  41. P3 3:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sparks4v5
  42. P3 3:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sparks4v5
  43. P3 5:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson4v5
  44. P3 6:27Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  45. P3 6:28Kadri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Leivo, Carrick, Soshnikov · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Larsson, Pysyk

  46. P3 6:28Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Leivo, Carrick, Soshnikov · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Larsson, Pysyk

  47. P3 6:28Deslauriers: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Leivo, Carrick, Soshnikov · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Deslauriers, Larsson, Pysyk

  48. P3 3:53Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sparks4v5
  49. P3 6:54Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson4v4
  50. P3 6:56Goal by Carrick (Gardiner, Nylander)4v4+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Carrick, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe

  51. P3 7:58Shot by Grabner, saved by Johnson4v4
  52. P3 11:19Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 11:31Shot by Parenteau, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 12:05Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  55. P3 12:05Parenteau: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  56. P3 12:05Foligno: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  57. P3 12:05Hyman: Boarding (2 min)4v3

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  58. P3 12:03Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 14:59Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks
  60. P3 15:20Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 15:32Goal by Marincin (Parenteau, Soshnikov)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Soshnikov · BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart

  62. P3 16:46Goal by Michalek (Greening, Rielly)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Greening, Smith, Rielly, Valiev · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson

  63. P3 17:01Hyman: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Hyman, Corrado, Valiev, Nylander · BUF Legwand, Deslauriers, Pysyk, Catenacci, McCabe

  64. P3 17:22Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks
  65. P3 17:28Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Sparks
  66. P3 18:07Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  67. P3 18:21Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  68. P3 19:31Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final