Sat, Mar 19, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
57%
11%
12%
20%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | Moulson–O'Reilly–Kane | O'Reilly–Girgensons–Reinhart | O'Reilly–Kane–Reinhart | Legwand–Deslauriers–Catenacci | O'Reilly–Kane–Deslauriers | Foligno–Deslauriers–Larsson | O'Reilly–Catenacci–Girgensons | Gionta–Larsson–Girgensons | Legwand–Moulson–Deslauriers | O'Reilly–O'Reilly–Kane | Bogosian–McCabe | Gorges–Ristolainen | Colaiacovo–Pysyk | Pysyk–Ristolainen | Colaiacovo–Bogosian | Gorges–Pysyk | Pysyk–McCabe | Colaiacovo–Ristolainen | McCabe–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michalek–Greening–Smith | 2:590.08–0.06 | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:290.02–0.00 | 0:550.20–0.00 | 1:040.09–0.00 | 4:090.29–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.01 | 3:150.06–0.14 | 1:230.10–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Grabner–Kadri–Soshnikov | 3:580.16–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:540.08–0.07 | 1:260.03–0.00 | 0:510.03–0.00 | 2:250.00–0.05 | 8:060.26–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| Parenteau–Hyman–Nylander | 1:400.02–0.01 | 1:170.00–0.03 | 3:090.01–0.19 | 1:290.01–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 5:300.06–0.09 | 2:400.05–0.00 | 1:400.01–0.11 | ||||||||||||
| Leivo–Brown–Gauthier | 4:100.14–0.11 | 1:080.02–0.00 | 2:190.11–0.03 | 1:470.00–0.02 | 2:160.05–0.08 | 1:360.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Greening–Grabner–Kadri | 1:110.04–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Marincin–Rielly | 6:360.20–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.10 | 3:180.12–0.07 | 1:340.03–0.00 | 1:040.17–0.00 | 4:070.09–0.05 | 9:140.22–0.02 | 1:160.07–0.10 | 0:350.14–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 4:240.12–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.04 | 1:230.01–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:550.20–0.00 | 5:450.43–0.00 | 3:150.05–0.05 | 1:420.00–0.09 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Corrado–Valiev | 1:590.09–0.07 | 2:060.03–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 3:420.15–0.03 | 1:010.04–0.02 | 2:310.02–0.15 | 0:490.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gardiner–Valiev | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.09 | 0:580.00–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 1:330.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| Rielly–Valiev | 0:320.06–0.01 | 1:080.04–0.00 | 1:090.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Gardiner–Corrado | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 25:33 | 0:53 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 31 | 25:00 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 30 | 24:32 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 5 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 33 | 23:36 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 3 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 29 | 23:02 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 25 | 22:57 | 0:55 | 2:40 | 3 | 2 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 26 | 22:50 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 27 | 21:36 | 0:48 | 2:03 | 3 | 6 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 27 | 19:08 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 23 | 18:38 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 24 | 17:42 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 4 | 2 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 22 | 17:32 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 3 | 4 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 21 | 17:02 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 3 | 4 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 24 | 16:43 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 1 | 5 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 24 | 16:12 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 25 | 15:47 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 25 | 15:46 | 0:38 | 1:11 | 5 | 5 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 22 | 15:42 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 15:27 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 20 | 14:52 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 2 | 4 |
 Rinat ValievTOR | 19 | 14:48 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 2 | 6 |
 Colin GreeningTOR | 17 | 14:29 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 1 | 3 |
 Milan MichalekTOR | 18 | 14:27 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 0 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 14:25 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 7 | 1 |
 PA ParenteauTOR | 20 | 14:23 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 14:14 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 4 | 0 |
 Cal O'ReillyBUF | 16 | 12:51 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Josh LeivoTOR | 16 | 12:34 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 4 | 1 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 20 | 12:19 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Carlo ColaiacovoBUF | 21 | 11:49 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 4 | 1 |
 Frank CorradoTOR | 16 | 11:43 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 16 | 11:28 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 16 | 10:57 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 18 | 10:56 | 0:36 | 0:57 | 4 | 1 |
 David LegwandBUF | 15 | 10:04 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Daniel CatenacciBUF | 14 | 8:56 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |