Fri, Mar 25, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:43Shot by Kulemin, saved by Bishop
- P1 0:44Garrison: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sustr · NYI Nielsen, Boychuk, Okposo, Kulemin, de Haan
- P1 0:52Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop4v5
- P1 1:18Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop4v5
- P1 1:47Shot by Hickey, saved by Bishop4v5
- P1 2:56Shot by Martin, saved by Bishop
- P1 3:37Tavares: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · NYI Okposo, Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, Leddy
- P1 3:58Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss5v4
- P1 4:01Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss5v4
- P1 4:02Shot by Hedman, saved by Greiss5v4
- P1 5:38Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss
- P1 5:44Shot by Marchessault, saved by Greiss
- P1 6:50Namestnikov: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Leddy
- P1 8:54Goal by Nelson (Strome, Bailey)+24 pts WP
On ice: TBL Boyle, Condra, Garrison, Namestnikov, Sustr · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Nelson, Strome, Pulock
- P1 9:02Shot by Condra, saved by Greiss
- P1 10:05Shot by Prince, saved by Bishop
- P1 10:10Johnson: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Marchessault · NYI Hamonic, Leddy, Lee, Nelson, Prince
- P1 10:22Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop4v5
- P1 10:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Bishop4v5
- P1 11:25Shot by Tavares, saved by Bishop4v5
- P1 13:06Shot by Carle, saved by Greiss
- P1 13:42Goal by Kucherov (Killorn, Sustr)+21 pts WP
On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Sustr · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Leddy
- P1 13:51Goal by Namestnikov, unassisted+18 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Garrison, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Strome, Pulock
- P1 14:09Shot by Coburn, saved by Greiss
- P1 14:14Shot by Brown, saved by Greiss
- P1 17:45Shot by Nelson, saved by Bishop
- P1 18:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Greiss
- P1 19:14Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss
- P1 19:18Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss
- P1 19:03Shot by Strome, saved by Bishop
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:45Shot by Leddy, saved by Bishop
- P2 1:36Shot by Hickey, saved by Bishop
- P2 3:18Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss
- P2 3:30Shot by Marchessault, saved by Greiss
- P2 4:31Shot by Brown, saved by Greiss
- P2 4:55Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss
- P2 5:02Goal by Stamkos (Killorn, Garrison)+14 pts WP
On ice: TBL Boyle, Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, Leddy, Cizikas
- P2 5:25Goal by Prince, unassisted+14 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Marchessault, Sustr · NYI Hickey, Lee, Nelson, Prince, Pulock
- P2 6:09Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop
- P2 6:25Shot by Kucherov, saved by Greiss
- P2 6:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Bishop
- P2 7:02Shot by Leddy, saved by Bishop
- P2 7:26Cizikas: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)
On ice: TBL Boyle, Blunden, Condra, Garrison, Johnson · NYI Clutterbuck, Hickey, Martin, Cizikas, Pulock
- P2 7:56Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss5v4
- P2 11:38Shot by Sustr, saved by Greiss
- P2 11:53Strome: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Sustr · NYI Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, Leddy, Strome
- P2 13:00Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss5v4
- P2 13:15Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss5v4
- P2 15:13Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Greiss
- P2 16:18Goal by Boychuk (Tavares, Bailey)+26 pts WP
On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sustr · NYI Boychuk, Bailey, Tavares, de Haan, Strome
- P2 17:03Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss
- P2 17:06Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss
- P2 17:30Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss
- P2 19:44Shot by Marchessault, saved by Greiss
- P2 19:53Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss
- P2 19:55Shot by Johnson, saved by Greiss
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Bishop
- P3 2:31Shot by Palat, saved by Greiss
- P3 2:55Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bishop
- P3 3:21Shot by Coburn, saved by Greiss
- P3 4:10Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bishop
- P3 4:38Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bishop
- P3 5:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss
- P3 5:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Greiss
- P3 6:03Goal by Sustr (Garrison)+31 pts WP
On ice: TBL Boyle, Blunden, Condra, Garrison, Sustr · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas
- P3 6:22Goal by Kulemin (Nielsen, Hamonic)+31 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Johnson, Palat, Marchessault · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Leddy
- P3 7:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Greiss
- P3 8:10Shot by Lee, saved by Bishop
- P3 8:35Shot by Nielsen, saved by Bishop
- P3 10:07Shot by Marchessault, saved by Greiss
- P3 10:09Goal by Johnson (Palat, Marchessault)+34 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Marchessault, Sustr · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Strome, Pulock
- P3 10:32Goal by Garrison (Palat, Marchessault)+12 pts WP
On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Marchessault · NYI Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Strome, Pulock
- P3 13:00Shot by Boyle, saved by Greiss
- P3 14:35Shot by Lee, saved by Bishop
- P3 16:41Shot by Pulock, saved by Bishop5v6
- P3 16:45Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bishop5v6
- P3 17:57Shot by Lee, saved by Bishop5v6
- P3 18:22Shot by Okposo, saved by Bishop5v6
- P3 18:35Goal by Hedman (Carle, Palat)5v60 pts WP
On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Brown · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Leddy, Lee
- P3 18:35Martin: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Brown · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Leddy, Lee
- P3 18:35Blunden: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Brown · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Kulemin, Hamonic, Leddy, Lee
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final