Fri, Mar 25, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
79%
10%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:22 | 0.06 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:40 | 0.04 | 43.0% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.01 | 27.6% | +30.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.22 | 44.1% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:59 | 0.40 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.24 | 30.1% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.14 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.04 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.13 | 27.6% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 34.2% | +49.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.02 | 35.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.02 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.13 | 44.8% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.19 | 39.8% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.03 | 7.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 35 | 6 | .854 | 3.50 | −2.5 | 57:28 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 25:36 | 0.46 | 78.9% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.04 | 58.6% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:00 | 0.46 | 56.1% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.05 | 69.8% | +57.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.11 | 61.9% | +51.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.26 | 57.5% | +35.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.17 | 47.6% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.04 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 17:20 | 0.89 | 78.6% | +46.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.20 | 59.6% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.08 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.34 | 77.4% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 13:39 | 0.62 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13:24 | 0.20 | 78.8% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.01 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:06 | 0.02 | 96.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:34 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 1.68 | −2.3 | 60:00 |