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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 26, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jokinen–Smith–TrocheckJagr–Huberdeau–BarkovHudler–Purcell–BjugstadWilson–McKegg–ShawCampbell–EkbladKampfer–KulikovKindl–PetrovicKindl–Ekblad
Johnson–Palat–Marchessault1:080.14–0.002:140.00–0.062:130.15–0.200:300.04–0.011:480.26–0.013:270.17–0.071:420.05–0.20
Boyle–Blunden–Condra2:200.00–0.091:080.00–0.111:520.08–0.003:250.08–0.181:540.00–0.000:570.00–0.02
Killorn–Stamkos–Namestnikov0:380.00–0.032:530.11–0.111:500.07–0.082:110.19–0.002:090.00–0.130:450.00–0.08
Namestnikov–Brown–Paquette1:280.02–0.072:000.17–0.000:410.03–0.001:420.02–0.071:370.17–0.001:280.04–0.00
Killorn–Stamkos–Palat2:140.16–0.000:500.02–0.000:520.00–0.000:570.05–0.001:360.12–0.00
Boyle–Brown–Paquette1:230.00–0.030:310.07–0.000:370.00–0.000:460.00–0.03
Stamkos–Johnson–Palat0:460.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Coburn–Carle1:210.00–0.091:220.17–0.070:310.04–0.001:550.07–0.051:400.00–0.072:050.17–0.051:060.04–0.09
Garrison–Sustr2:290.02–0.072:340.07–0.031:530.04–0.083:100.00–0.03
Hedman–Nesterov0:470.00–0.030:510.00–0.011:460.00–0.200:440.00–0.001:360.00–0.001:550.00–0.030:440.00–0.20
Carle–Sustr1:190.05–0.001:210.10–0.100:470.14–0.001:040.10–0.002:190.20–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:470.00–0.001:230.11–0.003:270.11–0.03
Garrison–Nesterov0:440.10–0.001:130.21–0.001:030.00–0.001:520.13–0.000:390.18–0.00
Coburn–Koekkoek1:230.12–0.011:200.08–0.001:010.04–0.01
Hedman–Koekkoek0:460.07–0.000:500.02–0.001:140.07–0.000:500.02–0.00
Coburn–Hedman1:530.00–0.131:450.00–0.13
Hedman–Sustr0:470.14–0.000:400.00–0.110:420.00–0.111:050.14–0.00
Coburn–Nesterov1:070.01–0.000:300.14–0.001:070.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaquette FBrown FNamestnikov FJohnson FPalat FMarchessault FKillorn FStamkos FCondra FBoyle FBlunden FGarrison DSustr DCoburn DHedman DNesterov DCarle DKoekkoek DVasilevskiy GSmith FTrocheck FJokinen FHuberdeau FBarkov FJagr FHudler FPurcell FBjugstad FWilson FShaw FMcKegg FEkblad DCampbell DKampfer DKulikov DPetrovic DKindl DLuongo G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Aaron EkbladFLA2624:140:562:0555
Steven StamkosTBL2323:331:011:3180
Brian CampbellFLA2423:070:581:3233
Vincent TrocheckFLA2422:500:572:04211
Victor HedmanTBL2322:130:582:4761
Ondrej PalatTBL2621:530:512:0274
Tyler JohnsonTBL2421:140:532:0253
Aleksander BarkovFLA2220:250:561:3614
Jussi JokinenFLA2420:010:501:40210
Dmitry KulikovFLA2319:490:522:0718
Steven KampferFLA2319:380:512:0813
Reilly SmithFLA2319:300:511:2029
Brian BoyleTBL2019:050:571:3662
Matt CarleTBL2318:420:491:5724
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA1818:071:001:3313
Cedric PaquetteTBL1917:130:541:4443
Jason GarrisonTBL2116:590:491:2942
Jaromir JagrFLA1716:561:001:2913
Braydon CoburnTBL2316:510:441:5715
Alex KillornTBL2016:290:491:2150
Nikita NesterovTBL2016:030:482:2071
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL1916:010:512:0263
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL2115:280:441:2850
Andrej SustrTBL1915:160:481:2923
Alexander PetrovicFLA2014:340:441:2626
Nick BjugstadFLA1513:340:541:2942
JT BrownTBL1512:170:491:2932
Jakub KindlFLA1712:160:431:2632
Erik CondraTBL1511:330:461:0922
Teddy PurcellFLA1511:310:461:2840
Jiri HudlerFLA1410:140:441:3730
Mike BlundenTBL129:360:481:3121
Greg McKeggFLA138:150:381:2400
Logan ShawFLA148:100:351:2400
Garrett WilsonFLA127:380:381:2400
Slater KoekkoekTBL105:570:360:5222